Why can't we be like India? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Open Thread   
Wednesday, 02 July 2008

Not too long ago, Stephen Wanyama said to one of the editors that education spending in Kenya was too high a priority item.

At least, compared to infrastructure and other capital spending for one. He had a variety of arguments for the claim; the central one was that money spent on education was money denied to income-generating activities. And surely we're all familiar with the eternal student or the citizen with several qualifications but who cannot get a job, and has nothing immediately productive to contribute.

Still, it seemed a terribly utilitarian argument. So I looked around, and came across Prof De Long's blogpost here. I'll summarise the good bits:

From Adam Smith (1776) until 1950 or so, capital was considered by economists to be absolutely essential for economic growth. You also needed a few good basic institutions. "Security of property and tolerable administration of justice," as Smith put it.

If these fundamental institutions were right, then landlords, merchants, and manufacturers would invest and improve. In investing and improving, they would add to the capital stock: "In all countries where there is a tolerable security [of property], every man of common understanding will endeavor to employ whatever [capital] stock he can command, in procuring either present enjoyment or future profit... A man must be perfectly crazy, who, where there is a tolerable security, does not employ all the stock which he commands, whether it be his own, or borrowed of other people..."

A larger capital stock would mean thicker markets, a finer division of labor, and a more productive economy. A highly productive society based on a sophisticated division of labor was how you secured "the wealth of nations."

Reverse the process, however, and you get the poverty of nations, which Smith believed he saw in the Asia of his time. For Smith and his successors over the first 175 years, any episode of sustained economic growth overwhelmingly required investment capital. We economists were by and large capital boosters, and our magic formula for economic development was saving, investment, thrift, and wealth accumulation. The last and fullest expression of this line of thought comes at the end of the 1950's with W.W. Rostow's book The Stages of Economic Growth .

Then Robert Solow and Moses Abramovitz challenged this near-consensus. They calculated that 75% to 80% of economic growth did not come from increasing the capital-output ratio - at least not if the private marginal product of capital was taken as an indicator of the social marginal product. Instead, the keys to growth and development appeared to lie beyond an increase in capital intensity as measured by capital-output ratios: skills, education, technology broadly understood, and improvements in organizational management.

 So it seems there's something to be said about education as motor for economic growth, quite apart from its intrinsic goodness. Now:

  •  does anyone know about the effects of prioritisng education spending ondeveloping countries' economic growth? And,
  • does anyone have further thoughts on either side of the debate?
  • this is an open thread.





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written by Stephen Wanyama , July 02, 2008
For me, it is all about balance. The education system must serve the rest of the economy and the entire economic and political system ought to promote individual self-sufficiency rather than supply labour that cannot support itself. The greatest example is Zimbabwe where a very well read, well educated populace cannot feed itself.

The whole of the Brain Drain phenomenon, underlines just how crucial this balance is. Simple question really, is there enough coming to the government in revenue to pay a large civil service, is there a large enough and prosperous enough capital base and class of entrepreneurs to absorb all the graduates from our schools and colleges? Do you produce enogh food, or energy as a country? Education can do none of these.

A well educated populace that cannot find employment moves away, and the country is in essence training up skilled workers for others to poach off it.

As for technology, well technology is capital, no?

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written by Mlevi , July 03, 2008

I think the problem is not with educating people per say, but what we are educating them to do.

What we have is a system that system that is geared towards creating white collar workers for an economy that cannot absorb them. The real failure in Kenya has been the inability to create employers. Maybe we should take away money from the governments obscene allocations ($10K/Day entrainment budgets)and divert the money to activities that help create more employers.
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education is good
written by Daniel.Waweru , July 03, 2008
I'm with the editor. Wanyama's argument is a utilitarian argument, and a bad utilitarian argument at that.

First, 'there are well-established theoretical reasons to
believe that education plays a major role in productivity
improvement.'(See Jonathan Temple's Education and Economic Growth)

You might quibble that that only holds true for developed countries. The quibble would be unfounded: a good quality education, even in a developing country, is positively correlated with economic growth. (See Hanushek and Wößmann Education Quality and Economic Growth)
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written by mkosakabila , July 06, 2008
Here's some more info on education:
"Education was clearly the most important determinant of whether farmers adopted new technology, among both male and female farmers." http://www.ifpri.org/divs/FCND/dp/dp05.htm
Of course, the report was largely talking about gender disparities, which are absolutely interesting for anyone who cares to read further.
There's more from the same author which provides evidence that better educated women invest more in child nutrition and education. See http://www.ifpri.org/pubs/ib/ib3.pdf and excerpts below:
"Studies in Egypt and Mozambique have shown that mothers' education is crucial to poverty reduction. In Egypt, increasing the education level of mothers from none or less than primary to completion of primary school reduces the proportion of the population below the poverty line by 33.7 percent. Similarly in Mozambique, increasing the number of adult females that have completed primary school in each household by one leads to a 23.2 percent decrease in the proportion of the population living below the poverty line. In both of these studies, female education had a much larger impact on poverty than other factors, including male education."
The impact of education on development is not trivial.

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written by Ngigi wa Kamau , July 15, 2008
I too will join the bandwagon and support the editors. Education is singularly responsible for the economic transformation of South East Asian economies, and more recently, China & India. South Korea had such an intense focus on education that today it is more prestigious to be a primary school teacher as opposed to a high school or university educationist. There's a McKinsey report somewhere on my hard disk that buttresses the importance of education but I'll fish for the proper links sometime soon.

The basic point is that education, and sciences at that, enables the development of technology. Technology coupled with capital generates industrial efficiency & new wealth is created.

There is one salient gap, however, that afflicts African economies - the non-application of knowledge at both micro and macro levels. I believe that Africans love mystifying knowledge and in the process end up glorifying individuals at the expense of substance. Examples on KI abound. An individual's bona fides vis-a-vis qualification are one thing - whether that person can contribute to society is something else.

Applied Knowledge is key to economic advancement.

Ngigi
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