It
is often said that truth is the first casualty of war. Take the reasons
offered for the ongoing bombardment and invasion of Gaza by the Israeli
Defence Force. The right of national self defense is the oft-repeated
mantra, the reasoning being that no nation can abide continued rocket
attacks on its civilian population.
To support their claim, the
Israelis have been issuing figures of up to 11,000 rockets lobbed
either by Hamas or with its blessing into Southern Israel from Gaza,
and have accused the group of refusing to respect and renew the current
ceasefire while at the same time taking advantage of the lull to
replenish its weapons stocks.
Well, regarding the just ended ceasefire, a report by
the Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center (ITIC) which is part
of the Israel Intelligence Heritage & Commemoration Center (IICC),
an NGO dedicated to the memory of the fallen of the Israeli
Intelligence Community says
"As of June 19, there was a marked reduction in the extent of attacks
on the western Negev population. The lull was sporadically violated by
rocket and mortar shell fire, carried out by rogue terrorist
organizations, in some instance in defiance of Hamas (especially by
Fatah and Al-Qaeda supporters). Hamas was careful to maintain the
ceasefire."
The report goes on to show that between June 19
and November 4 (when the truce was broken by an Israeli incursion into
Gaza -more on that later)only 20 rockets (three of which fell inside
the Gaza Strip) and 18 mortar shells (five of which fell inside the
Gaza Strip) were fired at Israel. Compare this with the average of 380
rockets and mortars a month in the six months preceding the ceasefire.
In fact, the Jeruasalem Post reported that
on Sunday, 21 December, less than a week before Israel launched her
attack on Gaza, Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) head Yuval Diskin
told the cabinet that Hamas was interested in renewing the relative
calm with Israel and wanted to improve the cease-fire conditions.
"Diskin listed Hamas' conditions as cancelling the blockade of the Gaza
Strip, obtaining a commitment that Israel won't attack, and expanding
the cease-fire to the West Bank."
In fact, historically it is Israel itself that has been reluctant to accede to truces and ceasefire.
- In
the early 90s, Hamas leader Sheikh Ahmad Yassin offered Israel a fixed
ceasefire of 20-50 years if she withdrew to the 1967 borders, if both
sides undertook not to attack each other and if there were free
elections for Palestinian reps to peace talks. Yassin explicitly
accepted that elected Palestinian reps would recognise Israel and that
such an outcome would end the conflict. There were no takers from
Israel.
- On July 31, 2001, Israel's assassination of 2 militants in Nablus ended a near two-month Hamas ceasefire.
- On
July 22, 2002, just 90 minutes after the text of a Tanzim ceasefire
supported by the EU, Jordan and the Saudis had been completed, an
Israeli airstrike on a crowded apartment block killed a senior Hamas
leader, Sheikh Salah Shehada, and 14 civilians, 9 of them children. The
Israelis later admitted that they were aware of the impending
declaration of the ceasefire.
- In
February 2005, Hamas signed on to a limited ceasefire agreement banning
non-retaliatory attacks on Israeli targets, during talks with the
Palestinian Authority and other militant groups. While the ceasefire
officially ended on January 1, 2006, Hamas maintained it without
further commitment till popular anger over the alleged Israeli shelling
of a beach in northern Gaza, which killed 7 family members, forced it
to withdraw from the ceasefire in June 2006. It is instructive to note
that throughout this period, Israel continued her policy of incursions,
shelling and assassinations.
Given then that Hamas was committed to maintaining the June 19 tahadiyeh (lull), how and why then did it collapse?
The
ceasefire was based on unwritten understandings and there was ambiguity
as to how long it would hold. According to the ITIC report quoted
earlier, " Israel 's position was that the lull had no time limit. The
position of Hamas and the other Palestinian terrorist organizations was
that it would remain in force for six months and they then expected it
to be extended to Judea and Samaria . Spokesmen of Hamas and other
terrorist organizations later stated that it would end on Friday
morning, December 19." However fighting broke out on the evening of
November 4 when, according to the BBC, Israeli tanks and a bulldozer
moved 250m into the central part of the coastal enclave, backed by
military aircraft.
The Israelis claim their intention was to
destroy a tunnel dug by militants to abduct its troops. In the ensuing
violence, 6 Hamas fighters were killed and the group responded by
lobbing over 35 rockets and mortars into southern Israel. The ITIC
report shows that by December 17, a further 330 rockets and mortars had
been fired from Gaza into Israel by Hamas and other Palestinian groups
while Israel responded with air strikes and by "closing the [border]
crossings for longer periods leading to shortages of basic goods in the
Gaza Strip and disruptions in the supply of fuel." And while the ITIC
report claimed that "electrical power was not cut off, since the plant
in Ashqelon , which supplies 65% of the Gaza Strip's electricity,
provided an uninterrupted flow of power", TimesOnline quoted UN
figures showing that half of Gaza City's residents received water only
once a week for a few hours and homes were without electricity for up
to 16 hours a day.
By December 18, with one day left to go in what was by then a largely fictitious ceasefire, Hamas was declaring,
in the words of MP Mushir al-Masri "the truce with Israel is finished
.... and there is no possibility of it being renewed." Another Hamas
official, Ayman Taha, explained that the lull was dead "because the
enemy did not abide by its obligations."
Explaining the group's logic, Israeli author Arthur Neslen wrote in Haaretz:
"Breaking the siege that has crippled normal Gazan life is the central
challenge facing Hamas, both because it has decimated the lives of its
electoral base, and because it is a litmus test of the group's
alternative policy for statehood through resistance as well as talks.
If the tahadiyeh (lull) had succeeded in opening Gaza's borders to aid,
trade and free passage for Gazans - especially work-related passage -
it would have been political madness for Hamas to break it. As things
were, the Gaza closure pushed the organization's popular support down
to 16 percent in November, according to one opinion poll, and it must
have concluded it no longer had anything to gain by holding fire. "
It
therefore seems clear that, contrary to Israeli government assertions,
Hamas largely abided by the tahadiyeh and would have preferred to
extend and renew it even after the hostilities provoked on November 4
provided the Israeli blockade of Gaza was lifted, as Shin Bet's Diskin
confirmed. It is thus the siege and the reasoning behind it, namely the
toppling of Hamas and reversal of the 2006 election result, that is the
real issue.
On this, there is broad agreement across the Israeli
political spectrum, despite recent statements to the contrary. On
December 21, the same day Diskin gave his cabinet briefing, the top
candidates to become Israel's next Prime Minister, Kadima's Tzipi Livni
and Likud's Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to
topple Hamas in Gaza. Livni said her government's "strategic objective"
would be to "topple the Hamas regime" using military, economic and
diplomatic means. Netanyahu called for a more "active policy of
attack", accusing the current government of being too "passive". "In
the long-term, we will have to topple the Hamas regime. Ephraim Sneh,
former Deputy Defense Minister and chairman of the Strong Israel Party, argued in
the Washington Post on New Year's Day that Israel's strategic aim is
not to stop rockets falling on Sderot, but to topple the Hamas
government in Gaza. More directly, Deputy Prime Minister Haim Ramon in
televised comments last week said: "The goal of the [current] operation is to topple Hamas."
But
even the uprooting and destruction of Hamas would be but a step on the
way to Israel's ultimate goal, an imposed peace. The idea that
Palestinian quiet would be met with Israeli concessions has been
effectively demolished in the West Bank. There, where no rockets or
mortars are being fired and where a moderate Fatah government of
Mohammud Abbas holds sway, Israel has increased its checkpoints,
expanded its settlements and continued to build its illegal "separation
barrier" on Palestinian land. Even the much touted pullout from Gaza
was described by
a senior adviser to then Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, Dov Weisglass, as
"formaldehyde." It supplies the amount of formaldehyde that is
necessary so that there will not be a political process with the
Palestinians... this whole package that is called the Palestinian state
has been removed from our agenda indefinitely."
A final word on Hamas rockets and the targetting of civilians. Arthur Nelsen writes concerning the former:
"Rocket attacks may be criminal and ineffective - as well as
self-defeating in the destructive response they elicit from Israel. But
they also meet a very human need to maintain both honor under fire and
the spirit of resistance....As Hamas spokesman Fawzi Barhoum put it,
'Because the occupation decided to use every shade of punishment to
destroy Hamas - collective punishment, deporting, arresting and killing
- we need military resistance to force it to stop.'"
And
the targetting of civilians is a tactic that has been adopted by both
sides. In January 2008, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert saidconcerning
those his government now claims are held hostage by Hamas: "As far as
I'm concerned Gaza residents will walk, without gas for their cars,
because they have a murderous, terrorist regime that doesn't let people
in southern Israel live in peace." Once the principle has been
established that Gazans can be punished for Hamas' rockets, it is a
small leap from blockading and siege to bombing and death.
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