The premise of the book is that a person who doesn't know much about
the oil industry sets out to find out what it is really like on the
inside. It reminded me in some ways of Crude World
by Peter Maass (which I reviewed here).
The biggest difference is that Margonelli was approaching the subject
from a pretty basic starting point, and Maass had written quite a bit
about the industry when he tackled Crude World.
I guess I never cease to be amazed by what people think the oil
industry is like, and what it is really like. People seem to think that
the oil industry is a bunch of guys in a smoke-filled room who conspire
to set prices. To be honest, that's probably the way I viewed the
industry when I was growing up. And still, my first reaction to my
cable bill going up is "Those greedy cable companies are ripping me
off." The big difference with the cable companies, though, is that
their profits aren't thrust in everyone's faces at the end of every
quarter. Every time oil prices do spike up and oil companies show nice
profits, people do feel like they have been taken advantage of. But I
digress a bit.
For this book, Margonelli embedded herself within various sectors of
the oil industry. She spent time throughout the supply chain, hanging
out at a gas station in California where she found that the owners made
more money on candy and soda than they did on gasoline. She spent a day
with a tanker truck driver and his dispatcher, and spent time in a
refinery and on an oil rig. She even got inside the Strategic Petroleum Reserve,
which is typically off limits to visitors. She traveled abroad to Chad,
Venezuela, Nigeria, and even Iran to understand the world of oil and
what is has meant to these regions.
Here were what I thought were some of Margonelli's more interesting
observations. She spoke a lot about the indirect costs of using oil. In
talking about oil spills, she mentioned that her view of an oil spill
had always been dominated by the Exxon Valdez.
She had never connected these spills to her own fuel usage, but learned
that drivers and boaters spill more oil every year than did the Exxon
Valdez. The number she cited was 19 million gallons of oil products
spilled each year in our waterways by boaters and auto drivers.
She wrote about the notion that oil companies are in a conspiracy to set prices. A jobber
she spoke with - someone who has to buy fuel from the oil companies -
said "There are eleven studies which show there isn't a conspiracy.
Chevron, Shell, Exxon - they hate each other. It's like war daily. For
them to collude is insanity, but people believe what they want to
believe."
On that topic, she noted an episode of hypocrisy displayed by Nancy
Pelosi. One day in 2006 Pelosi told a group of school children that we
hadn't done enough to reduce our dependence on gasoline, and so demand
was high and that's why the price was high. Then she got in front of
the cameras and she cited the conspiracy of big oil and the Republicans
working for their interests. But as Margonelli noted, "the myth of
conspiracy overwhelms reason, particularly when pump prices and oil
company profits are high." I think the lesson there is "If the talking
point is working, keep pushing it."
She met an old-time wildcatter named Michel Halbouty (now deceased) who
complained that the country has not had a coherent energy policy in 30
years. He advocated more promotion of domestic energy exploration, and
fears a slow slide into deindustrialization. He noted that the main
problem is that "People. Don't. Care." As long as they can pull in and
fill up, they just don't care about energy policy.
In China, she met with someone within the government who was involved
with energy policy. He noted that it would be a disaster for China to
move toward an American way of life, but he says that cars are clearly
there to stay in China. On GDP, Margonelli wrote that China requires 4
or 5 times as much energy as Japan per point of GDP. Finally, the
minister commented that China needs "a bigger space to survive under
U.S. hegemony." On that point, she also spoke with a European analyst
who said that U.S. hegemony is a part of China's strategy; that if they
can get the U.S. to bear the expense of maintaining the energy status
quo, they will have the time and resources to retool their economy.
In the epilogue, Margonelli comments that there is no such thing as
cheap gas; that there are hidden costs throughout the supply chain. But
the population has come to expect cheap gas as a "grand bargain" with
the government and the oil companies. When the price goes high, they
look to the government to punish the oil companies so prices will come
back down.
One weakness in the book is that it really didn't address the question
of depletion. It seemed to take at face value that oil will continue to
be available and business will continue as normal for decades. However,
I note that Margonelli was at the ASPO Conference
this year (along with Peter Maas; I am sorry I missed that) so she got
a heavy dose of peak oil information. Some very interesting comments by
her can be found at this story covering the conference.
As one might expect, Margonelli emerged from her experience with a
radically different view of how the oil industry works. I have to agree
with Paul Sankey's assessment that it does provide great insight into
the industry, from a very basic starting point and with a balanced
view. As one reviewer pointed out, it could have been titled "The
Petro-economy for Dummies", which is to say it is a book that is easily
understood by those with zero knowledge of the industry. This book
would be on my short list of books to recommend to people who want to
know what the industry is really like.