The violence on the streets of Mogadishu looks like a return to the hellish anarchy of the 1990s, but in that darkness is a reason to hope.
Even as former prime ministers and
ministers met with senior Somali intellectuals and
activists to plan on regaining control of the country from the invading
Ethiopian army, the Islamic Courts Union's former foreign secretary
Ibrahim Addou indicated in an interview that the Courts were no longer
seeking to put themselves back into power. This dramatic step could
potentially offer a way out of a horrendous and brutal conflict which
Pope Benedict was compelled to highlight in his Easter message.
"The
leadership of the Islamic Courts Union is intact, and a number of them
are in Somalia battling Ethiopian occupation forces," said Prof. Addou,
who was also the Courts' Chief Negotiator.
"But our goal is not to
reconstitute ourselves as a government. Somalia is under occupation and
needs a broad-based movement in which all contending forces committed
to regaining our sovereignty should work together."
Prof.
Addou also reacted with diplomatic caution in turning down a proposal
made yesterday by US Assistant Secretary of State Jendayi Fraser during
her visit to Baidoa, Somalia, that a
permanent ceasefire be established "as quickly as possible" through
political dialogue.
"We welcome all calls for an all-inclusive
dialogue, which was, and continues to be, the Courts' approach," he
said. "But
that dialogue can be held neither under current conditions, nor in
Somalia," Addou continued.
"Any such dialogue will need to be held
outside Somalia, where all participants can negotiate without fear or
intimidation. The dialogue would also need to be conducted under the
auspices of a neutral body, or a group of impartial nations, outside
Somalia. And it could only take place if it was preceded by a clear and fixed timetable of withdrawal of Ethiopian forces."
This
articulation of the Islamic Courts' position provides a potential way
out from the deepening Somali crisis which the Transitional Federal
Government, put in power by an invading Ethiopian army and the United
States, has been unable to manage even at the most rudimentary level. Ethiopian
officials have therefore been forced to hold direct, face-to-face talks
with Somali elders who are known to be Islamic Courts sympathisers.
Earlier doubts about President Abdullahi Yusuf's ability to overcome a
life-long clannish orientation to reach out to opponents have been
cemented by his recent aggressive actions at a time when even the US
appreciates that the only solution to the crisis lies in an
urgently-formulated politically- and clan-inclusive framework.
At
a meeting last month in Addis Ababa of high-level ambassadors and
officials of governments and the African Union, President Abdullahi's
ambassador to Ethiopia assured participants that the TFG recognized the
need to reach out and win the commitment of all the major clans to a
negotiated solution. Less
than a week later, Ethiopian and Somali Government troops stormed a
neighborhood of Mogadishu's dominant Hawiye clan that supported the
ousted Islamic Courts. The brutality of that attack on a civilian
neighborhood by helicopter gun ships and tanks resulted in enormous
civilian casualties. The subsequent
public European expression of concern that war crimes might have been
committed in the massive assault might reflect the resurfacing of
earlier EU reservations about this war, against which the
organization's warned last fall but about which it has been silent
since.
New behind the scene efforts might be underway to influence
American thinking and find a speedy, negotiated solution to the crisis,
which if unresolved could turn the already turbulent and primarily
Muslim Horn of Africa into an even bigger powder-keg of Muslim-western
confrontation.
The
Addou interview took place at the University of Leicester, where a
three-day Somali diaspora conference succeeded in attracting some of
Somalia's best known figures from the earlier 2000-2004 government
along with the many parliamentarians who resigned from the Transitional
Federal Parliament which elected President Abdullahi in 2004.
Prof.
Addou of the Islamic Courts also held out the hope that despite "the
immense harm and suffering to Somalis" caused by the TFG, its members
would not be automatically excluded. "All decisions will be taken on a
case by case basis, the goal being national inclusiveness."
Mr.
Addou acknowledged the Islamic Courts had made some mistakes when in
power last year, "but they were minor."
More troubling, he said, were
the actions of some hot-headed ICU members not approved by the
leadership. Some cinemas were closed, property was burned and football
matches disrupted. The banning of chat should have been a gradual,
carefully organised process accompanied by education about its impact.
"We were caught by surprise by the speed of our own ascent and did not
have the mechanisms in place to prevent such mishaps," he said. On
the ICU's link with terrorism, Prof Addou said that not a single
terrorist act had occurred under their rule, and that ICU was
completely opposed to terror. He pointed also to the Leicester
meeting's tribute to the peace and security brought to Somalia last
year by the ICU.
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I still wonder why our idiotic Kenyan press cheered this attack on Somalia and the shooting-up of the leaders of the Islamic Courts. I mean seriously is banning Khat a capital offence?