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Why Obama must win the nomination PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stephen Wanyama   
Monday, 03 March 2008

I am not one for hype. I do not even have a Facebook account, so you know how quickly I wrote off Barrack Obama's chances of winning the American Presidency. It did not help either that he was chummy with Kenya's opposition leader Raila Odinga. I was not the only one who'd written him off it seems. Many Kenyans, even we tribal people, who will vote anyone we share the slightest 'blood' bond with, had already given up on him. We were immensely proud, a brave effort, he would make a good showing, but it would be best if he gave up and accepted that America was not ready for a black President. Maybe try for number two while he learned the ropes, made a few friends and got some experience. Over in the United States, the black people came out in large numbers, speaking against him, he was not black enough, his blackness was foreign, Kenyan, not African-American and he knew nothing of the stigma of slavery or of segregation.

The poor Senator actually had to stake a claim to the tradition of Martin Luther King and the civil rights movement.  Hillary Clinton, whose husband was christened, 'the first black President' was the black candidate -as defined by support in that segment of the population.

That is a nice tag -black candidate- to have when you are not black, but when you are, it could be the kiss of death in America's highly racialised political society. The previous black candidate, at least the one who got a large enough number of votes to be considered a realistic candidate, had been the Rev. Jesse Jackson, he of the other Rainbow Coalition. (Kenyans seem to have lost it for American names, FORD, NARC, and Pentagon!!) Rev. Jackson had run in 1984 and 1988. It was a decent run with wins in 11 states before he finally bowed out. Perhaps because he was constantly attacked by the media with the subliminal -is America ready to vote a black president? -in the end it did seem like a bit of a fairy tale.

Now that there, fairy tale is an adjective you can use on someone's ambition only when he is of your race, it is something you can get away with saying when you are black, or Hispanic or Asian and not otherwise. In America's very race-conscious society with dominant races and oppressed ones, such an assessment, no matter how enunciated, is the epitome of condescension when directed at a black man of ambition.

Bill Clinton, previously persuaded of his negritude by Maya Angelou, did not seem to have picked on the need for sensitivity. In a bizarre series of attacks following the surprising mettle Obama showed in the first few primaries and caucuses and the rapid closing of the gap in national opinion polls between Hillary and Obama, he (Clinton) suggested that Obama's campaign was a fantasy, not unlike Rev. Jackson's 20 years earlier. Subsequently, and with more than a nudge from the Clinton camp, the message went out, Obama only wins where there is a large concentration of black voters.

Black voters have always been loyal to the Democratic Party - orphaned and neglected though they are in America's two-party system. For this reason they make for one of the most important constituencies for any Democratic Party candidate, and they factored greatly into Hillary Clinton's massive end of 2007 opinion poll leads, which were by all accounts at the time, unassailable. But Obama's subsequent victories, the stubborn resolution in the ‘Yes, We Can' clarion call and the Clintons' attacks on him rallied this section of the electorate and pushed it away from Clinton and to the Illinois Senator where they have stayed since.

This migration was not instantaneous. With the full knowledge of the entrenched discriminatory systems in American society, it took some time before black voters took Obama at all seriously (to this day there are many who will not vote for him out of fear that he will be assassinated if elected), but once they started to shift, there was no holding them back. Obama's victories, even as they have included states like snow-white Iowa and been strongest in demographics like white males, voters with more than one degree, voters with an income in excess of $100,000 and the majority of first-time and the less-than-30 year old voters, has for a fact brought in many more black voters into American politics than ever before. In Lousiana, in the Potomacs, in Georgia and it is expected today in Texas and Ohio as well, Barack Obama can rely on the overwhelming support of America's black population who see in his candidature now, a fulfilment, an acceptance of their place in American society. Gone forever are the debates on whether Obama was "Black enough," and on whether the fact that his blackness was Kenyan and not handed down from African slaves, made him any less African-American.

And it is this overwhelming increase, in what is one of the most dependable and sizeable constituencies for the Democratic Party, that is causing the Democratic Party's establishment figures, the super-delegates, and their biggest headache. It is not, as some have suggested, that the super-delegates will act to overrule the party delegates and endorse a candidate who lost the delegate race. Their problem is that black America and the majority of young voters across America have come to identify with the Illinois Senator so much, and have grown as a result so sensitive to the fact that like them he is an outsider to the hidden levers of power, that any result that does not please this group alienates the very revolution that would give the Democrats an answer to the constant boost the Republican party enjoys from the religious right.

The real threat now, is that a Hillary Clinton victory, especially an imposition of her on the party by the super-delegates, or a decision for example to count the delegates from Florida and Michigan and therefore tilt results in her favour, or a victory won on the back of the ‘kitchen-sink strategy' the Clintons now seem resolute in employing, will anger and frustrate the very part of the electorate that could be most relied upon to canvass for the party and build on a new movement that could rival the influence of Ronald Reagan for the republicans. A national coalition consisting of Obama Republicans as an answer to the Reagan Democrats of the 1980s and 1990s and with zeal as emphatic as that of the bible-thumping religious right, is at stake if Obama is refused this late in the game.

So it seems that Obama, the Illinois prophet, whether they like him or not, is their man. He is the Democrat who many polls still indicate would beat John McCain at the general election, the one who brings together a movement to the party that will probably outlast him, a coalition that has the potential to remodel American politics. But for all the brickbats about a cult, Obama merely finds himself at the head of a movement he can hardly control. Staff in hand, or not, there is no guarantee that his coalition would follow him were he not the designated driver, or return their awesome fighting machine to the Democrats in subsequent years.


Stephen Wanyama
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What counts....
written by aeichener , March 04, 2008
It is so very simple:

If Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nominations, the Democrats WILL lose the presidential elections. With absolute certainty.

If Obama wins the nominations, there remains a realistic chance that the Democrats may win the presidential elections too.

Draw your own conclusion.

(These Americans... so immature and so blind. *Sigh*
It's high time they were colonized by a benign civilized nation).

Alexander
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Obama - Kenya Alliances
written by kenyan , March 04, 2008
Very interesting piece there. Food for thought. The only thing I can truly suggest may be inaccurent is the statement that he, Obama is chummy with Raila. I think this is something that Raila trumpeted, not the other way around. Initially, Obama called both Raila and Kibaki regarding the tragic events in the country. He spoke to them both. Raila was quick to let the whole world know of this phone call, and even told BBC that he and Obama were related on the maternal side. Obama confirmed that the phone call took place, but has never confirmed or denied their being relatives.

What is that saying that the squeaky wheel gets the oil? This is the situation here.
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Obama presidency
written by Nehoy , March 04, 2008
The indication that Obama had to claim stake in civil rights movement by the author shows his lack of knowledge on the work of the Junior Senator from Illinois.

As a Chi town resident, I can confirm to you that at the age of 24, Barack was in the basements of churches and backyards of people organizing communities of people to fight for their rights.

And after Harvard, he still worked on the Civil Rights committee in IL as he taught law at IL university.

One thing most people underestimated was Obama's organizational skills. He is super. And to think that his campaign contributions have been majorly from Jane/John Does' of the US is a pointer to his skills as a leader.

Hillary is better off kissing this thing adieu.

I also trust Obama to rise above the Republican negative brand of politicking.

Lstly, to view Obamas' presideny as fulfilment of the black race 'place'in America, or that Blcks view it that way is myopic.
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Geldof and Bush
written by Wuod Aketch , March 04, 2008
Geldof reports a conversation he had with George W. Bush aboard Air Force One en route to Ghana, Africa, Feb. 19, 2008

I gave the President my book. He raised an eyebrow. "Who wrote this for ya, Geldof?" he said without looking up from the cover. Very dry. "Who will you get to read it for you, Mr. President?" I replied. No response.
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hard work is ahead
written by New Day , March 04, 2008
Whoever wins the democratic nomination, there is one major huddle waiting to be overcome between now and November. Challenging 72 year old John McCain's vast experience on Security matters.
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re: Obama presidency
written by Peter Njoroge , March 04, 2008


Lstly, to view Obamas' presideny as fulfilment of the black race 'place'in America, or that Blcks view it that way is myopic.


I think you are flatly wrong on that last statement. It will be probably the biggest thing that happened to the black nation across the globe, short of course of an African nation winning the world cup. France 98' doesn't count.
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results
written by Stephen Wanyama , March 05, 2008
Vermont (15 delegates)
Ohio (141 delegates)
Rhode Island (21 delegates)
Texas (193 delegates)


I was not at all arguing that Obama is the black candidate, merely that there will be bitter consequences for an Obama loss. It is clear that the Clintons are pulling no punches, Hillary even suggested yesterday that she would endorse McCain over Obama. The race card was unleashed by the Clintons, never by Obama.

P.S. Question to ponder, would Kenyans be pro-Obama if he was not black, or Kenyan? Does that not make us rather shallow, a bit like ODMers?
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Revealed?
written by Andrew , March 05, 2008
I suspect Obama may have ODM sympathies and not from his ancestry... Wanyama however cannot resist at any instance an opportunity to take a dig at ODMers as he calls them as seen below...

P.S. Question to ponder, would Kenyans be pro-Obama if he was not black, or Kenyan? Does that not make us rather shallow, a bit like ODMers?

The Nation - OUR NATION shall be built by those who are capable of rising above party, tribe or personal position in society. A bitter argument between brothers need not constitute lifelong enmity.

Take note, I am neither ODM nor PNU but a Kenyan happy to work together to build this GREAT Country.

We shall build Kenya...even if it means leaving you behind in the misinformation, hate and the mud.
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hmmmmm
written by Stephen Wanyama , March 05, 2008
Looks like Hillary Clinton won last night. Three states out of four, but does not look like she won much in terms of delegates, ugly politics it seems does work.

My question about Obama and shallowness is really about self-criticism. There are those of us whose political positions, we are proud to say, are fashioned by pragmatism and a love for Kenya and not ethnic affiliation or hype. So my question is, for those of us supporting the Illinois Senator, on what basis are we supporting him? Just because he is Kenyan? What does he stand for?

I am unapologetic about my comments about the ODM people. In fact I would go so far as to call anyone who supports the ODM evil. After the Kisumu rally in which Raila tacitly permitted attacks on Kikuyu, after the threats to put the Kikuyu in an island like Lesotho in the middle of the country but especially after a three year long hate campaign against Kikuyus, promoting ethnic division and isolation, then yes, I am proud to say I cannot stand anyone who supports the ODM. I cannot stand them because I love Kenya, you understand?
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Clinton is ODM
written by Amir Ibrahim , March 05, 2008
I agree with you entirely Wanyama, except is it not Clinton who is adopting the ODM tactics?
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Clinton
written by James Macharia , March 05, 2008
That Hillary Clinton is a tough nut to crack. I'll be honest I'm supporting Obama for the twin reasons that he's black and that he's Kenyan. It will mean a lot for both this groups at least symbolically if Obama wins. It will also mean a lot if he doesn't deliver. The same applies to women, of course if Hillary Clinton wins.We've had Thatcher, Indira Gandhi, Benezir Bhutto and now Merkel among many others but the US Presidency is the icing on the cake. It's no excuse but we are no different from the Irish, who a were just as excited about JFK. Already with Obamas candidacy, a hitherto unknown village in Siaya has been put on the Map.
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re: Obama
written by Cindy , March 05, 2008
Looks like Hillary Clinton won last night. Three states out of four, but does not look like she won much in terms of delegates, ugly politics it seems does work.

My question about Obama and shallowness is really about self-criticism. There are those of us whose political positions, we are proud to say, are fashioned by pragmatism and a love for Kenya and not ethnic affiliation or hype. So my question is, for those of us supporting the Illinois Senator, on what basis are we supporting him? Just because he is Kenyan? What does he stand for?

I am unapologetic about my comments about the ODM people. In fact I would go so far as to call anyone who supports the ODM evil. After the Kisumu rally in which Raila tacitly permitted attacks on Kikuyu, after the threats to put the Kikuyu in an island like Lesotho in the middle of the country but especially after a three year long hate campaign against Kikuyus, promoting ethnic division and isolation, then yes, I am proud to say I cannot stand anyone who supports the ODM. I cannot stand them because I love Kenya, you understand?



Senator O's roots are in Kenya, that alone should make any Kenyan regardless of party affiliation, proud. The other reason that he appeals to me is the fact that his health care plan is more practical and voluntary compared to Senator Clinton. Third, he is giving the ordinary American the chance to choose a president of their choice unlike Clinton.
Obama has had a few rough couple of days and that has cost him the 3 states that he lost, respectfully. It would be interesting to see how he regains his momentum again.
By the way, I love Kenya and proud to be Kenyan.
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...
written by That Kenyan Loser , March 05, 2008
Stephen Wanyama
It did not help either that he was chummy with Kenya's opposition leader Raila Odinga.


Come on now! I did not expect even the most partisan Kenyan to support the porojo that has been going on the American conservative blogosphere.

Don't ignore the fact that Obama said he was going to call Kibaki. Just because news media did not follow up doesn't mean he didn't.

The ties they are trying to make between Obama and Raila are baseless.
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re: results
written by Cindy , March 05, 2008
P.S. Question to ponder, would Kenyans be pro-Obama if he was not black, or Kenyan? Does that not make us rather shallow, a bit like ODMers?

Wanyama, it has been refreshing to read some of your articles until now. With statements like the one above, you are proving to be what some of the contributors in this forum have thought all along - a desperate PNU appeaser with a huge appetite for brutalizing anything and anyone with the slightest odour of ODM! It would be quite useful to engage your rhetorics in taking Kenya to the next level - not dragging us back into the mud!

(We fail to see "brutality" in Stephen's self-critical question. Anyhow: insight, introspection, self-criticism - if necessary. even brutal - is actually what this publication strives to encourage. Ed.)
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re: Obama v. Clinton
written by aeichener , March 05, 2008
That Hillary Clinton is a tough nut to crack. I'll be honest I'm supporting Obama for the twin reasons that he's black and that he's Kenyan.

I have a much better reason than you. :-)

I favour him because *he* is the one who could beat the Republicans. Hillary can't. Voting for her in nominations, means to lose the real elections.

And that's enough. His skin colour is immaterial to me; it is not more than the chocolate layer on the political cake.

Alexander
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Stephen Wanyama
written by Shaolin , March 06, 2008
Hi Wanyama,

Is there a way I can contact directly? Need to talk to you privately on afew issues and solutions.

Let me know how I can contact you outside of this forum of great men and women. I promise to leave my black belt at home... Also could you tell me if you are on skype?

Stay well...
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re: re: Obama v. Clinton
written by Nehoy , March 06, 2008
That Hillary Clinton is a tough nut to crack. I'll be honest I'm supporting Obama for the twin reasons that he's black and that he's Kenyan.

I have a much better reason than you. :-)

I favour him because *he* is the one who could beat the Republicans. Hillary can't. Voting for her in nominations, means to lose the real elections.

And that's enough. His skin colour is immaterial to me; it is not more than the chocolate layer on the political cake.

Alexander


Ah! Alex, please join the Democrats Advisory team and drum it into their skulls. Because with a Hillary/Mccain card, Americans will be taken for another long ride, as the powerhouses and their owners remain intact. You should see Karl Rove's smile at the thought of Hillary on Fox News!

Hillary has Flip-flopped on NAFTA, Iraq war, and wants to force people to buy health insurance. That way HMOs are happy, Lobbyists happy, and the big fish happy. Am not sure about the foreign policy she is touting.

Republicans will walk over Hillary so fast good Lord have mercy.
Matter of fact, they have been working on how to stop her for two years now.

Truth be said, a large percentage of Americans is ridiculously ignorant. I see them engage Hillary in the Politics of

"why didn't you have you Patriotic lapel on after 09/11"

Such trivial matters.
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Love Kenya???
written by Andrew , March 09, 2008
. I cannot stand them because I love Kenya, you understand?


Must be the dumbest statement I have read so far here. I understand not for it is evident this statement is mystic and befuddling to simple minds like me!!! Who can fathom it?

The man who would sleep with a girl for a night and he who would marry her both tell her they love her. Talk is cheap, ask Hitler who proclaimed his undying love for Germany even as he ravaged and ruined her.

If your daughter threatens to leave home you do not say you cannot put up with her and she must stay because you love your family!!! A reasonable man would seek to address the issue that has disrupted the equilibrium and seek concrete solutions, the simpleton I presume would declare love and that should solve the problem.

To nurture and grow a Nation involves give and take, much like a relationship, and if one partner feels wronged it's wiser to seek to address those issues. States can secede as Kosovo has so recently shown us. It may not be the way to go, but if some cannot stand others it ultimately becomes the only way to go.

If it comes to that perhaps then you will love "Kenya" more, having been responsible for her death with your earlier 'Love'. FYI in the documentary filmed during Amin's time in Uganda he proclaims his love for Uganda. Keep on loving...
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Obama; DNC Nominee
written by Fotieno , March 14, 2008
This race, in my opinion is a foregone conclusion.The last delegate count as of yesterday: Obama- 1627 Clinton - 1503. For Clinton to even come close to catching up, she would have to win very handily - by over 60% - in the remaining states which is - needless to say - borderline impossible. As for the DNC superdelegates, I highly doubt they will overturn a pledged superdelegate lead especially a handsome such as is currently the case. They would risk alienating too many of the democratic and independent voters who are drawn to Obama and more so the young voters they are so heavily depending on. Such a decision would also create a very permanent schism in the party. The only way the SDelegates will overturn the pledged delegates is if by some miracle HRC manages to even out the pledged delegate count with Obama which just aint gonna happen.
So IMO, she has lost the contest but is just refusing to concede quite yet, probably hoping that either the DNC will decide to bring the Michigan or Florida primaries into play, or that somehow she will win the popular vote - which is uncomfortably close if you ask me. Both of these are very long shots but like all know, Hillary is and has always been a fighter and might yet pull a fast one!
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