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Written by Patrick Gathara
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Thursday, 11 December 2008 |
The similarities are uncanny. And if Prime Minister Raila Odinga has
his way, Robert Mugabe's Zimbabwe may soon have something else in common
with Saddam Hussein's Iraq: US-style regime change this time by African
Union troops.
Two nations, both led by megalomaniacal
demagogues with delusions of grandeur, both involved in costly (and
ultimately failed) foreign adventures, both considered international
pariahs and both subject to debilitating international sanctions. And
if Prime Minister Raila Odinga has his way, Robert Mugabe's Zimbawe may
soon have something else in common with Saddam Hussein's Iraq: US-style
regime change this time by African Union troops.
The proposal, which has received Archbishop Desmond Tutu's blessing, is
unlikely to succeed on two counts. First, it is unclear whether the
famously spineless AU is up to the task. Its record and that of its
predecessor the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) hardly inspires
confidence. The deployment of an under-resourced and undrmanned AU
peacekeeping force in Darfur in 2004 did little to quell the violence
there and the peacekeepers frequently became targets themselves. Even
faced with Zimababwe's underpaid and unmotivated army (which resembles
its DRC counterpart by the day), it is by no means certain whether the
AU could muster enough troops and resources to get the job done.
Secondly, while Zimbabwe's economic problems have definitely been
exacerbated by the undeclared sanctions imposed upon it by the US, it
is also accurate to say that it is Mugabe's myopia and greed that led
to the crisis in the first place (the economy was in free-fall way
before the enactment of the Zimbabwe Democracy and Economic Recovery
Act in December 2001, through which "Zimbabwe's access to finance and credit facilities was effectively incinerated
"). Many of the African countries that would be contributing troops to
unseat Mugabe are similarly affleicted, even though the symptoms of
economic malaise have not been demonstrated in as dramatic a fashion.
It is unlikely that the likes of Meles Zenawi, Yoweri Museveni and Mwai
Kibaki (to name but a few) would have anything constructive to add to a
discussion on restoration of democracy in Zimbabwe.
Perhaps African countries should first remove the straw from their own eys before tackling the log in Mugabe's?
In the meantime, I think the continued denial of international finance
and credit facilities to Zimbabwe is abominable. Just like the 12-year
Iraqi sanction regime, it hurts the people while doing little to
dislodge the regime. While I supporting continued international
pressure to oust Mugabe or at the very least secure a transitional
power-sharing agreement, inducing a full-scale collapse of the
country's economy is beyond the pale.
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Patrick Gathara |
| About the author: |
| Patrick Gathara is a Kenyan cartoonist and the Secretary General of Katuni, the East African Association of Cartoonists. He writes/ draws regularly on political matters and is Politics and Society Executive Editor at KenyaImagine.
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Last Updated ( Saturday, 13 December 2008 )
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