Looking to the United States and President Obama's
humiliatingly failed attempts to forge a bipartisanship on the fiscal stimulus,
I find myself thinking back to the heady euphoria of 2003 and the post-Moi
government that was NARC. The C was for Coalition; the Kenyan people, it was supposed, voted for the union, the compromise and hence
the bind that we later found ourselves in.
It is also true that NARC was not a union of hearts, more a union of calculating minds looking only to win the first post-Moi election.
But that isn't to say that they did not try. Why then did nothing seem to
work?
On the most fundamental questions, the victors at the battle
that was the 2002 election found themselves fundamentally opposed. True, joint
strategic positions had been taken in contemplation of the difficult task of
unseating the KANU behemoth. As the old saying goes, nothing unifies more than
a common enemy.
Still, the differences that rent that coalition, and pit us
against each other, were so significant that it is inexplicable that scholars
and pundits alike persist in blaming President Mwai Kibaki, even demonizing him,
first for his alleged reneging on the 2002 Memorandum of Understanding with
the Liberal Democratic Party, and secondly for his dismissal of these
politicians from his government in 2005 after the referendum delivered a defeat
to his government. He could, in his defense, state first that he had retained
those ministers he felt he could work with even when they were not of his
party(importantly LDP's Awori, Saitoti
and Tuju) and others like Kibwana and Ngilu); and secondly that his primary
duty as chief executive was to deliver to the Kenyan people, not to their
politicians. Certainly, the characterization beloved of many, that it was an
unabashed Kikuyu power-grab is unjustified by the facts.
Time brings clarity, and the opportunity to rethink
previous judgments, especially for the consideration of future leaders. The
question: what would a responsible leader do faced with constant opposition
from within his government, especially when such opposition was not based on
mere nuances but on substantive decisions of government? How do Majimboists and
Centrists govern together for example? How do populists govern in alliance with
a president who infuriated even his own side with his slow and deliberate
style?
These questions persist even today because the Kenyan people
are governed, and will likely continue to be governed by elements of that same
coalition, and earlier differences persist, troubling Kenya today in
much the same way as they previously did. It is clear that in spite of all, if
any effort applied, there are real, fundamental difficulties facing the
coalition, real differences in their management styles, how they appeal to the
public, how they take to being beaten in political battle and what historic
baggage they lug with them.
Passionately held positions are unlikely to melt in the
coziness of the Cabinet Room anywhere on earth, and it is right and proper that
our politicians believe in something; that they find certain positions
impossible to compromise; and that they defend the positions of their voters
when they need to (see Mau
Forest evictions). It is
simplistic and unfair to see every political disagreement as signifying an
unending petulance on the part of our politicians. Differences of various kinds
are not uncommon and are especially magnified in the case of Grand Coalitions.
One can understand for example, given their constituencies, why Raila Odinga would prefer
lower food prices, and William
Ruto greater reward for farmers.
There's been, since even before the post-election violence, a
refrain asking that we eschew winner-takes-all-politics, and adopt a Northern
European style consensus politics.In
the case above for example, it is not possible to have it either way without
real cost to our country, and compromises that serve our long term interests
have to struck. It is doubtful, however, that this will be achieved
soon, or that it is in our interest at our state of development, or even that it becomes
our political culture. Compromises often grant stasis and therefore delay
progress.
We continue to suffer an intensely adversarial politics (see
Martha Karua
versus William
Ruto). It is undeniable that
Kenyans have a way of taking as attacks on their communities what are usually
attacks on individuals (see Kimunya trying hard to persuade his constituents
that the campaign against him in parliament was an attack on the Gikuyu, or see
the myth of Luo marginalization or the understanding that the insults against
Raila Odinga at the last campaigns amounted to attacks on all Luos).There is therefore an incentive in our
political culture for politicians to look tough, see the plaudits Martha Karua
has won for beating her chest (even when she completely ignores the facts).
This consensus politics is also not likely to be
particularly productive. It may deliver peace and calm, but that calm may also
signify little if any movement, or progress. For starters it would deny the
public the opportunity to have presented to us arguments for and against
particular policy decisions (you know you cannot get front page in a Kenyan
newspaper unless you scream and shout).It would lead instead to the institutionalization of backroom political
deals.
Worse, it would be very expensive and ineffective, see
Obama's fiscal stimulus and the effects of trying to make everyone happy. But
worst of all, because we do not have an ethic that rewards cooperation and
compromise, we would see the party that compromised more (there is always such
a one) as weak and effeminate. Kalonzo
Musyoka and Raila Odinga
are both reviled by some of their previous supporters for ‘caving in' to
Kibaki, even though that may have been the right, even the only thing to do at
the time.
So onward, how to wean ourselves of the angry and
debilitating politics? How to consult and consider alternative proposal but
maintain a healthy capacity for policy argumentation and appeals to competing political
interests at the voter level?