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China: The next Superpower? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Patience Wanga.   
Friday, 20 July 2007

I have just read an interesting article about China, and the fact that I am from a presentation that details how my job will be outsourced in the next few years’ only decreases my enthusiasm for China.

The Negative Nancy inside is aroused, but again, if anyone listens to China's president Hu Jintao, a student of ancient Confuciasm, they will not fail to notice his frequent harping on the need for a harmonious country. Not everything is rosy on the mainland, mmh?

A few days ago, we were all made aware of a unique ingredient in China's food stuffing: the cardboard. Unbelievable, even outrageous, but yes, the concerned indeed admitted incorporating cardboard shavings in food, but denied exporting it to America.

This was the latest addition to the dangerous products churned out by China. From poison laced seafood, harmful toothpaste lining American bathrooms to toxic medication or even tablets lacking active ingredients altogether. Three main problems have sprouted:

  • China's over reliance on exports and a weak consumer force.
  • A primitive financial system
  • R&D programs that undermine innovation.

China's growth in the last three decades at 9.5% is unparalleled. In this light, the above mentioned problems can easily be dismissed as minor ailments of an achieving nation.

In many ways it has shown great strides in growth. It is the world's export juggernaut, from t-shirts to pharmaceuticals. (It unfortunately dampens the excitement of sending a younger sibling souvenirs from America made in China.) We can count on China's express-ways and hotels being up and ready by the summer Olympic Games in 2008. It is known that China meets its goals in record time. At the same time, China is dogged by production of dangerous products, endemic corruption and a spreading eco-crisis.

On 07/10/07 Zheng Xiaoyu, the former commissioner of the State Food and Drug Administration (SFDA) was executed for accepting bribes that amounted to $850,000. These bribes allowed an illegal speedy approval of 8 drugs, which included one anti-biotic that killed 9 people. Corruption is so endemic it has its own vocabulary i.e.

San Zhong Quan Hui- Sounds like "3 cups all possible" that refers to the 3 glasses set out at bouquet (for liquor, wine, and beer). This translates to ‘officials spending more time on dining & wining" as opposed to working.
Yan Jin Yan Jin- "Research, research"-sounds like cigarettes liquor. The joke is that when a bureaucrat says "we will carefully research your request", he is actually asking for cigarettes and alcohol, a traditional method of bribery. Of course cashwould be acceptable.
Zou Hou Men-Literally means go through the back door.
Tu Huang Di- "Local emperor"

Perhaps this execution was a stern warning for the corruption players in the Beijing government.

Residents in some cities close to manufacturing plants are forced to spend heavily on drinking water, for their faucets at home produce a smelly yellowish sulfur smelling liquid is supposed to be water. Such establishments always seem to take responsibility swiftly by building water treatment plants, but refuse to hire people to run the treatment plants.

According to the Director of the global health studies program at Seton Hall University, nearly half of China's people cannot afford to see a doctor when ill. 70% Lack health insurance, and 30% refuse to go to the hospital due to the costs. While the Beijing government may have good intentions, a large portion of the economy and social life outside is controlled by local communist parties in Counties and cities. Cases of people owing $500, 000 in medication costs are common. Prescription drugs are oversubscribed, with doctors and hospitals getting kickbacks from drug companies.

Technology wise, China has some of the best equipped laboratories from nanotechnology to optics. The international scientific journal entries from China have been on the rise. In a given year, China universities churn out about 60,000 doctorates in science and technology. However this does not equal innovation according to the director of Carnegie Mellon University's electrical engineering department. Much of the lab work in non-impressive, and focus is mainly on turning technology into money making products rather than in the discovery of breakthroughs. A lot of the research is useless. Even worse, not too long ago a Chinese scientist was sentenced to over 34 years for attempting to steal American intellectual property. He was nabbed as he was about to leave for China. It was a pathetic sight, as the middle aged scientist broke down in tears, after serving the US for a long time in the security department.

Intellectual property has been subjected to pirating, counterfeiting and knockoffs. The current president of Twin Poplars and former head of the US IT office Beijing- Anne Stevenson-Yang, did not hesitate to add her observation that China rewards repetition.

While Beijing boasts of  its homegrown alternatives to technologies like DVDs, WI-FI, and super fast third generation 3G cellular service, these ideas were pioneered elsewhere, and as a result have cost Chinese companies highly. 3G services has been delayed by regulators because the available Chinese technology is years behind schedule.

In the financial Markets, China bourses raise money for powerful state enterprises, rather than for dynamic private companies. Last year alone, no private company was listed on Shanghai's Stock Exchange, and the current electric board has only 15% of listings that are privately owned.

There are several shortcomings, but some argue it would be unfair to compare China to America and Europe that took centuries to develop modern financial methods, food safety guidelines, Pension system and Environmental protection programs. But again, the developments in Europe and America, including social reforms were achieved after upheavals that led to elections of new governments. South Korea and Taiwan tamed crony Capitalism following traumatic democratic transitions. In contrast, the Chinese communist party does not tolerate political change. Dissidents are taken down with the full force of the law.

Another way out would be getting the Communist Party out of business, but such revolutionary changes seem impossible politically. This can only lead to one conclusion; the flawed China will be around for a few more decades to come.





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still I rise
written by Timothy Wainaina , July 21, 2007
Sounds like someone is hurt by Chinese progress. A watchman for the Americans? Maybe?

Well, here is some news. The UK was a dirty pverty ridden backwater as long ago as the 1980s, there was grand pollution you speak of in China is also found in pockets of the USA ( Erin Brokovich anyone). Oh, and China owns the USA. In fact I am recommending, going even shrill, begging everyone to exit their dollar positions in an orderly manner, cus the CHinese will not keep holding the greenback up for too long. Soon, they will start exiting to PMs and the big crucnh will start.

China does have problems, big big problems, but China is also on an inexorable rise to the top. The Japanese also started by copying off others, soon enough the situation was reversed and it was other copying off of them.

IP theft? Don't be naive. Everyone does it. Heard of the Israeli caught stealing defence secrets?
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China Roses
written by Amir Ibrahim , July 21, 2007
Listening to Enya's China Roses. Is it true that China is now the World's third largest economy, having this week overtaken Germany?

The trouble is we think in a very American way, where national interests are competitive and inimical to each other, where the winner has to be on top, and everyone else poor. Why is China's growth threatening to America, why does Patience from Mumias feel threatened by China? Why does she and her relatives believe that Chinese products are inferior? Entrenched racism?

P.S
*The USA is not a democracy, not in any way more democratic than China.
*Democracy and economic progress do not mean the same thing. South Korea and Taiwan grew under crony capitalism and dictatorships. Same thing happened in Singapore and to some extent in Malaysia and Singapore.
*Privatisation, as the example of Enron shows, means absolutely nothing as regards good governance.
*Pirating and counterfeits make a lot of economic sense, as does an export oriented economy. That Miss is how South East Asia's Tigers grew. Pity silly Kenyans think a strong shilling is a good thing.
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Shanghaied
written by emmo opoti , July 21, 2007
China will grow, and will keep growing for as long as the centre holds. Whether or not the 'American dream' a.k.a me-ism takes over completely from the Confucian traditions will be the crucial test. It is this American dream that is fuelling China's rising consumerism and which is creating an alternative market ( an internal one) for Chinese products, especially with the 400m plus people lifted out of poverty, and the millions others who can afford luxury goods. But it is its Confucian traditions that hold it together, demanding a more egalitarian distribution of national wealth.

I'd go even further than Amir and say that capitalism does not need democracy to flourish, citing again not just Singapore and Japan, but also Germany. Many of China's critics fail to realise that the other global behemoth- India- is suffering many similar problems in spite of its 'democratic' nature. Most of all, if China was such a bad place, going nowhere, the world would not be sending its capital into Chinese stocks or Chinese industry.

What the Chinese model can teach us in Kenya is that saving works. We run deficits that are way too large for us ever to develop.

------
Now on to democracy and China. Kindly look up Chun Lin's 'The Transformation of Chinese Socialism'. Many people forget that the ideas of Marx have never really been implemented. What the Anglo-Saxons proclaim has been disproved was Statist Stalinism, a totally different creature. As the writer herself has shown, the Chinese leaders are not in some fantasy world like Kim Jong Il or Geroge Bush ( leaders who like all Kings believe nothing is wrong). They are responsive and from the 1970s have been making steps to guide China along, to ensure that every transition breaks the naysayers' hearts.

The picture painted by the irritating Americans is far bleaker than the reality, but China like every Third World country, has a Long March ahead.
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Disparity
written by Hon , July 25, 2007
I can almost predict with certainty that the perceived American me-eism will carry the day! And what is the possible origin of this ersatz capitalism exhibited by China?

With the communist party firmly in business, and rampant corruption, there soon will be a large gap between the poor and obscenely rich.

Environmentally, China is a menace, that the whole world ought to worry about.

Amir, plis note Patience is from Bungoma, not Mumias...Wangas and Bukusus are enemies, for while we fought the colonialists, they collaborated. I wear this as a badge of honor, don't mess it up.

lastly, it is a little worrying that young Kenyans like yourselves have no problem with intellectual thet. In this day and time, it will cost you much more that inventing your own. The Chinese pay a hefty price for this.
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Disparity
written by Hon , July 25, 2007
I can almost predict with certainty that the perceived American me-eism will carry the day! And what is the possible origin of this ersatz capitalism exhibited by China?

With the communist party firmly in business, and rampant corruption, there soon will be a large gap between the poor and obscenely rich.

Environmentally, China is a menace, that the whole world ought to worry about.

Amir, plis note Patience is from Bungoma, not Mumias...Wangas and Bukusus are enemies, for while we fought the colonialists, they collaborated. I wear this as a badge of honor, don't mess it up.

lastly, it is a little worrying that young Kenyans like yourselves have no problem with intellectual theft. In this day and time, it will cost you much more that inventing your own. The Chinese pay a hefty price for this.

Erin Brokovich (science is proving all that hexavalent chromium hoopla wrong). Hexavalent chromium is as toxic as trivalent chromium. In Brokovich's time, scientists were yet to understand how the unstable hexavalent chromium undergoes oxidation to the trivalent stable form. During this very short transition, it rapidly changed to the 5-valent state that is extremely toxic to human cells. The short halflife of the 5-valent can be reasonably used to argue against Cancerous issues in Erin's cases.
But hey, looks like a duck, smells like a duck, walks like a duck...has to be a duck!
I have worked on a toxicological paper on the same, Colorado Wildlife Library will carry the report.

That was the theory then, it has been proved otherwise.
Thinking of it, China might be waaay worse!
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