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From Crisis to Opportunity: Sustaining Kenya on Its Democratic PDF Print E-mail
Written by Michael Ranneberger   
Sunday, 09 March 2008

Published here is the speech given by the American Ambassador Michael Ranneberger at the Law Society of Kenya dinner yesterday.

I cannot think of a more appropriate venue at which to deliver remarks regarding the current situation. You have grown from a society of less than 30 members in 1949 to become the largest and most respected bar association in East Africa. You have helped shape the national debate on a wide range of issues including multi-party democracy, corruption, land reform, and constitutional reform, among others. Your voices have been prominent and have thoughtfully influenced efforts to resolve the crisis of the past two months. Your voices will continue to resonate as the country tackles the challenging agenda before it.

I make my remarks in the spirit of the strong partnership and friendship between the United States and Kenya. We want to see Kenya sustained on its democratic path because that is in the best interests of all Kenyans, and because it is in our interest too. I truly believe that the profound crisis that Kenya experienced provides an opportunity for the country to emerge with stronger democratic institutions, a more cohesive society, and an even more vibrant economy that can more equitably benefit all citizens. I am confident that Kenyans will seize this historic opportunity. My optimism is based on the substantial record of democratic achievement of the past five years, and on the successful way in which Kenyans resolved the electoral crisis. Although the crisis unmasked long-simmering underlying problems, it also revealed underlying strengths.

Kenya's Democracy -- Underlying Problems, Underlying Strengths

Few other African countries and few other developing countries anywhere in the world could have survived the tremendous strains placed on their institutions by such a political crisis. The underlying strengths that helped Kenyans pull through include a dynamic civil society, strong religious institutions, the highest functional literacy rate in Africa, the enormous democratic space opened up since the 2002 elections, a forthright media, an increasingly modern and booming private sector, and a high rate of economic growth, to name just a few. Yet another important institutional strength of Kenya must be noted: the highly professional armed forces, whose integrity and professionalism shone throughout the crisis. Despite all the of problems many prefer to dwell on - including the undeniable inequity in the distribution of resources, corruption, and ethnic politics - Kenyans have remained remarkably engaged in the political process, as evidenced by the high turnout in the elections.

Four factors brought the parties to the negotiating table and produced a positive outcome. First and foremost, this democratic spirit was felt as Kenyans across the economic, social, ethnic, and political spectrum made their voices heard. The people sent a clear message to their leaders on both sides that they wanted a political solution to end the violence and return the country to a path of progress. Kenyans' voices were heard through civil society, religious groups, the media, and the private sector. Kenyans placed remarkable pressure on the political leadership of both sides. Second, international pressure complemented this domestic outcry, and made clear to both sides that there was no viable alternative other than a political accord. Secretary of State Rice and Assistant Secretary Frazer traveled to Kenya to bolster the efforts of the African Union and Kofi Annan and urge an immediate end to violence. Third, President Kibaki and Honorable Odinga are essentially pragmatic politicians who have worked together before and who realized that they are accountable to the people. They saw that sharing power was the only way to prevent the country from slipping into chaos and isolation. Fourth, the negotiations greatly benefited from the skillful and forceful direction of Kofi Annan and his team. Kenya and friends of Kenya are grateful for their important contribution to peace in this country.

Kenyans should be justifiably proud that they have been able to find a way back from the edge of the abyss and sustain the country on a democratic path. The prevailing mood I sense in Nairobi and across the nation is one of immense relief, with a positive focus on the way forward. I found this to be true in the Rift Valley, during my visit on March 1st and 2nd. One highlight of that visit was speaking to several thousand primarily Kikuyu internally displaced persons at their camp and later - not more than one kilometer away - speaking at a peace rally attended by thousands of Kalenjins. My remarks to both groups about the need for reconciliation, support for implementation of the political accord, and justice were well-received.

The Way Forward

I am proud that the United States stood shoulder-to-shoulder with Kenya in its darkest hour, at times pushing both sides harder than they wanted to be pushed, because that is what a real friend does. In that same spirit of friendship, let me offer my thoughts on the steps that need to be taken quickly in order to maintain momentum.

First, President Kibaki and the Honorable Odinga must work together effectively to put in place the coalition government in a way that reflects the letter and spirit of the agreements signed. Government positions must be equitably shared but, even more importantly, immediate steps must be taken to carry through with the ambitious reform and national policy agendas, particularly with respect to constitutional, electoral, and land reform.

Second, a transparent process must be put in place to begin work on the reform agenda, to be completed within a designated timeframe. Work on the reform agenda needs to be inclusive, particularly through consultation with civil society.

Third, the Parliament must quickly pass the necessary legislation to make the coalition structure legal and constitutional. Let us not forget that well over 60 percent of all sitting MPs are newcomers who are being asked, without the benefit of orientation or training, to implement some of the most important legislation in Kenya's history, and then to deal with sweeping and long overdue reforms. The dynamic leadership of Honorable Speaker Marende and the political will - and goodwill -- of parliamentary leaders will be required to move forward quickly.

Fourth, political leaders, elders, and the respected personalities of Kenyan society from the top down must cooperate to send unequivocal messages on the importance of rapid reconciliation between communities and individuals. I urge President Kibaki and Honorable Odinga to undertake joint visits to encourage reconciliation, and to lead by example.

Fifth, urgent practical steps must be taken to advance the process of reconciliation by helping the country deal with the havoc wreaked during the crisis. This includes returning people to their homes in conditions of peace and safety as quickly as possible, and restoring their livelihoods. While returns must be voluntary, the right of every Kenyan to live and to own property anywhere in the country must be assured. Returning displaced to their so-called "ancestral homelands" is not a viable option politically, socially, or economically. Diversity is one of this country's greatest strengths and it must be cherished. If people cannot return to their homes, it will validate violence and weaken the fabric of the nation. At the same time, appropriate assistance should be provided for all areas of the country affected by violence.

Sixth, steps to promote reconciliation must include establishing a legally independent

Peace, Truth, and Justice Commission and holding those responsible accountable under the law. Kenyans are giving real meaning to my favorite verse in your national anthem: haki iwe ngao na mlinzi (justice is my shield and defender). One of the most important results of the mediation process was agreement to examine Kenya's history of violence and the long-stranding grievances which fuel it. The proposed Peace, Truth, and Justice Commission must provide a meaningful channel for Kenyans to address both recent and historical injustices. In conjunction with Kenya's criminal courts, this process must determine what happened during the recent violence and hold those accountable who organized, financed, and perpetrated the violence. Land issues are the basis of many of the long-standing grievances and the causes of violence. Instituting a process of land reform will be critical to fostering reconciliation and building long-term peace in Kenya.

Seventh, the Independent Review Commission charged with investigating the conduct of the 2007 general elections must credibly complete its work within the proposed timeframe. Chain of custody issues make it highly likely that we will never know what the actual vote was, but determining where and how the electoral system broke down is vitally important to fixing it and restoring Kenyans' confidence in the democratic system.

Eighth, the crisis put into sharp relief the plight of youth, and that problem must be addressed. The massive unemployment among youth provided fuel for violence. A national youth agenda needs to expand vocational training and employment. Ninth, concerted efforts must be made to get the economy back on track.

Only an inclusive process can turn the crisis that the country experienced into an opportunity. It will be up to you and to all Kenyans to insist that this be the case.

President Kibaki and Honorable Odinga have found the political will to share power within a "grand coalition" government. How long this political will endures depends entirely on whether Kenyans take immediate and decisive advantage of the momentum at hand. Kenya has a finite window of time to address an ambitious reform agenda. Perhaps the most important item on the reform agenda is constitutional change. Kenyans relentlessly debated almost every salient issue during the 2005 referendum, and did so after a broad consultative process. This shared national experience should give Kenya's new parliamentary leaders a running start on resolving even the most difficult issues at hand. LSK's Constitutional Law Committee Report of 2006 makes it perfectly clear,however, that - this time - constitutional reform must be gotten right. In the report, you said: "[T]he ramifications of the failed 2005 referendum ... was a national catastrophe in which everybody lost. Billions of shillings of public money set aside for the constitutional review process were lost.... And worst of all, we emerged from the referendum a nation severely torn by ethnic balkanization." Obviously, the stakes are an order of magnitude higher today. There can be no second failure.

While the current political accord justifiably focuses primarily on constitutional, electoral, and land reform, it is important not to loose sight of other pressing issues which must be addressed. These include intensified and more effective efforts to combat corruption; continued liberalization of the economic sector; and promoting gender equity, among others. There is an urgent need for reform in the judicial sector as has been made clear by the Chief Justice himself. This will require providing more resources for the judiciary, tackling judicial corruption by ensuring transparency and accountability, and making judicial proceeding more efficient and open. With an efficient, transparent and non-partisan justice system, Kenyans will no longer feel forced to take the law into their own hands. I salute the LSK's leadership in the fight for legal and judicial reform.

Democracies in Crisis - the American Experience

The fact that Kenya has experienced such a fundamental crisis does not mean that the democratic progress made during the past five years was an illusion or that in some way Kenya is a fundamentally flawed country. Almost all democracies have experienced crises of similar or greater magnitude. Our own experience as Americans helps us understand what transpired here.

The experience of the Great Depression in my country exemplifies how a galvanized political leadership, sharing a unity of purpose, can move an entire country from fear and misery to prosperity and national renewal. Assuming the presidency almost 75 years ago to this very day and at the depth of the Great Depression, Franklin Delano Roosevelt vividly described the America he saw at the time of his inauguration: "[T]he withered leaves of industrial enterprise lie on every side, farmers find no markets for their produce, the savings of many years in thousands of families are gone. More important, a host of unemployed citizens face the grim problem of existence, and an equally great number toil with little return." When President Roosevelt memorably went on to state that, "the only thing we have to fear ... is fear itself," he was really asking Americans to have faith in their government and - most especially - in each other. Capitalizing on broad support from Republicans and Democrats alike, FDR passed an extraordinary amount of legislation during his first 100 days in office. The New Deal, as it became known, reformed the very fabric of American business and society. The New Deal created jobs, including through a National Youth Administration. It included passage of sweeping farm and ranch policies. The New Deal transformed our nation, and America emerged

from a profound crisis with stronger institutions.

Another American experience also exemplifies how crisis can be turned into opportunity for national renewal. After the Reverend Dr. Martin Luther King was assassinated in1968, many of the largest U.S. cities erupted into violence. This became so serious that military forces had to be deployed to restore order. The assassination was the spark that set off the riots, but the violence reflected the anger of the black population of the United States regarding underlying grievances not resolved since the Civil War 100 years before. Once again, Americans rose to the challenge and seized the opportunity for fundamental change. Poverty programs were expanded, urban problems were addressed, the inner cities were rebuilt, and civil rights legislation was passed. As a result, our country again emerged with stronger institutions, a stronger economy, and a more inclusive society.

Kenya, the U.S., and the Global Community

The extraordinary amount of attention Kenya received during the crisis reflects its importance in the regional and global context. The crisis demonstrated that Kenyan stability is critical to the economies and the stability of the entire region. Kenya is home to the most effective peacekeeping training facility in the region. Kenya's leadership on Sudan directly led to the Comprehensive Peace Agreement. The Nairobi Accord helped the governments of DRC and Rwanda adopt a common approach toward eliminating the threat posed by rebel forces. Bringing stability to Somalia requires Kenyan influence and assistance. Kenya is now uniquely positioned to show the region and the world that through dialogue and a commitment to reform it is possible to rise above political crisis and come out even stronger than before.

Earlier this week I met separately with President Kibaki and Honorable Raila Odinga to discuss the way forward. As a result of those conversations, I am convinced that both men understand the opportunity at hand. They recognize that the seeds of Kenya's future

must be planted now, and share a sense of urgency. I told them that we want to help. We are moving quickly to amplify the U.S.-Kenyan partnership, which already results in about $2 billion of resource flows from the United States to Kenya each year. We will make a concerted effort to encourage expanded trade, investment, tourism, and cultural and educational exchanges.

I am pleased to announce that the United States will provide an additional $25 million in funding for reconciliation and reconstruction. This $25 million is in addition to the $14 million in immediate humanitarian assistance the United States has provided since January. This $25 million will be used to: promote dialogue and reconciliation; facilitate the return of the displaced to their homes and resumption of their livelihoods, as well as assistance with related infrastructure and youth agenda programs; support for implementation of the coalition accord, particularly carrying through with the reform agenda; and assistance for key governance programs, including strengthening the Parliament and supporting as appropriate establishment of the new office of the Prime Minister. We will, of course, consult closely with the coalition government and civil society as we move ahead.

Secretary of State Rice has also pledged to encourage other donors and international financial institutions to provide the support that Kenyans require in order to turn the crisis they experienced into an historic opportunity. Greater involvement by the international community will help to ensure that institutional reform is carried out in a timely manner.

In doing so, we will be supporting a Kenyan agenda implemented by Kenyans - and not one imposed from outside. International support will, of course, be linked to good faith efforts to implement the political accord and reform agenda. This will complement the desire of Kenyans to hold their leaders accountable.

Kenya stands at a defining moment in its history. The political accord is the first step on what will be a long and challenging journey - but the United States will travel it with you. We are confident about Kenya's future, even "bullish." I wish the Law Society of   Kenya and the Kenyan people well as you continue to pursue your democratic experiment - one that Americans continue to pursue after 232 years of independence.

 





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Not that bad
written by Peter Njoroge , March 09, 2008
(Edited.)

I hate to fault the great ambassador in some points, but he needs to be more specific. It's not really the youth (by defn. male and female) who caused so much havoc but specifically young men.

Sure all youth need employment but young men need to be addressed specifically. We might need a young men fund, the way we have a women and youth fund.I also want to ask, how it is that the Kenyans made their voices heard.

As far as I'm concerned the ones who made the most if not all the noise were the ones who were burning, raping and looting.That is really nothing to be proud of, if truth be told.
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U.S Ordering Kenya around
written by Erfan , March 10, 2008
No shadow of doubt Mr. Ambassador has read the Riot Act from Washington. While we the U.S is a
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Serbia
written by James Macharia , March 10, 2008
Eric,
There are few countries that I can think so that have been ordered around like the Kenyan leadership has been in the past few months. This just confirms Kenyas strategic importance if nothing else. See, I'd thought we were lucky because we didn't have any minerals to speak of like Congo or Iraq, but turns out we are so strategically important that even overtones of foreign occupation forces on our soil were being threatened.

The last government that was put in a situation of sign a deal or else was Slobodan Milosevics Serbia and when that Milosevic refused to sign, it ended in an intensive bombing campaign. Milosevic was taken down to the hague, where he ended up dead and Serbia lost Kosovo to independence this year. In so far it was prudent of Kibaki to swallow his pride and play ball. For ultimately as the Serbian experience is the end game is same, Public humiliation. You only get to decide on the amount of humiliation you want.

Personally I've never been a friend of foreign intervention, and I say that regardless of who is in power. I was equally ashamed when the Moi government had to be forced to implement structural adjustment programmes (SAPs) back in the 90s.

It's like ultimately our democracy is a sham. We can go through the motions of electing our leaders but ultimately the final decision of who is put in that seat is up to Washington, London and Brussels. The latter can impose sanctions that will cripple us, and the former is not shy about interventionism. Sure some might cheer now, and indeed a lot have and admonished our esteemed Ministers to keep their traps shut while Massa speaks, but it's a double edged sword, for a time will come when the powers might be might want to shove some unsavory fellow down our throats.

For a true picture of what the US really thinks of democracy, look at democracy experiments gone wrong in US eyes like in Algeria and the Palestinian territories, when Hamas won.
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The US of A
written by Eric , March 10, 2008
People, let's keep it real. US is the world super power and they order counties bigger than Kenya around. The concept of an independent country is an illusion. Investments and military power are the real reason why the world goes round.

They said power sharing and power sharing it is! There is little Kibaki or Raila can do about that.
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Elections
written by Johnny B. Goode , March 10, 2008
Let's not forget the role played by the EU Observers in discrediting our elections. Those lazy bones are yet to release a final report.
http://www.eueomkenya.org/Main...fault.html
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re: Serbia
written by Kim G , March 10, 2008

The last government that was put in a situation of sign a deal or else was Slobodan Milosevics Serbia and when that Milosevic refused to sign, it ended in an intensive bombing campaign. Milosevic was taken down to the hague, where he ended up dead and Serbia lost Kosovo to independence this year.


At the height of the post polls crisis, there was talk of US bombing and Martha Karua being taken to The Hague. I think Kenyans overrate their significance in world affairs. There are countries that have done worse things than Kenya and nobody has bombed them. Look at Myanmar, Zimbabwe, Pakistan, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Gambia, DRC among many others. Besides, with an upcoming election and commitments in Iraq and Afghanistan, its highly unlikely the US would risk a military intervention in Kenya.

The US is involved in Kenya purely as a safeguard against China. A couple of years back, the US bigwigs accepted that they had lost Sudan to China. Clearly they wouldnt want a repeat of the same as far as Kenya is concerned. If you look at the US Ambassadeurs speech, he also talks about Somalia, Uganda and the rest of the region as factors why Kenya is important to the US.
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no real threat
written by Stephen Wanyama , March 10, 2008
There is no doubt in my mind that there was no real threat to Kenya from the USA. Those who front all these Hague theories, or the ones about bombing are really the most ridiculous ignoramuses. You know the usual ODM posturing and kvetching...

The threat to Kibaki is from the fact that he is the candidate of the business class. You cannot help but compromise when you are the business candidate. With mounting losses and leaking goodwill, the pressure on Kibaki for a return to business as usual was very high.
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...
written by Kenyan , March 11, 2008
All things work together for good.....While we would not have liked to live the past few months of heartbreak, pain, chaos, disillusionment, etc, we as a country can turn this around for good. But we have to hold those in leadership and power accountable instead of being distracted by tribal issues. We can build a better society than the one we had before. Maybe we had become too complacent or naive in thinking that things would just work themselves out. But it looks like the Americans can at least identify with us. This is not an African or Kenyan issue. Its a human issue.
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mmmmh continued
written by esther ndubi , March 14, 2008
Amazing piece of confession and acknowledgment of facts. Truly remarkable, since one would have been forgiven to think that the US, EU...('international' community) were not aware of the facts, given all that has been appearing in the international and mainline local media.
A sure far cry from the 'Do as we say, or else...' from Jendayi, Condie,... (although I tend to think they were selected to do it).
Some queries & comments though -
...the United States stood shoulder-to-shoulder with Kenya in its darkest hour, at times pushing both sides harder than they wanted to be pushed...

how was ODM & Raila pushed?
Land issues are the basis of many of the long-standing grievances and the causes of violence

isn't it the politicians that have fuelled/incited/funded the people into violence?
...effective efforts to combat corruption...tackling judicial corruption...

I think we need real examples or evidence of the much talked about corruption, from the media and 'International' community, (pls dont mention the red herring Anglo leasing! - topic for another day).
We are moving quickly to amplify the U.S.-Kenyan partnership, which already results in about $2 billion of resource flows from the United States to Kenya each year...will provide an additional $25 million in funding for... This... is in addition to the $14 million...

Am I the only one who seems to be getting the impression that this is a one-way traffic?
In doing so, we will be supporting a Kenyan agenda implemented by Kenyans - and not one imposed from outside.

Really?
I wish the Law Society of Kenya and the Kenyan people well as you continue to pursue 'your democratic experiment'.

Our experiment? The US has been known to invade other countries to impose 'democracy'.

In conclusion - excellent piece of advice, with very informative incites into American history. But most of the rest of the 'must does' and 'should does' have been repeated, in the media, from all over, for the last two months, over and over and over, ad nauseum...

(We have now united all three parts of your posting. We are sorry that the software glitch continues to frustrate you and us. Please continue to post. Thank you, Eds.)
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Pompous nonsense from a whitew
written by Evans M. , March 15, 2008
(As we stated before, pompous nonsense as yours will be deleted. That leaves you with two choices, and only these two:
- Go away, or
- Write a substantial criticism, and found your allegations and animadversions properly. See Vitalis above for an example. Eds.)
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Hallelujah!
written by mkosakabila , March 16, 2008
In doing so, we will be supporting a Kenyan agenda implemented by Kenyans - and not one imposed from outside.


Fair enough. We'll wait and see.
Meanwhile, we are moving towards a so-called 'grand coalition' already. I figure it was 'not imposed from outside'. Hallelujah.
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Crisis led to Intervention
written by Jandege , March 17, 2008
Kenyans,

It is amazing to read the criticism of the role played by the US and Western powers following the polls fiasco.

What we need to remind ourselves is that the extra-ordinary scenes coming from Kenya following the announcement by the ECK called for intervention. We may not like the motives of the US but let us not pretend that Kenya is an island, not in this globalised world we are living in. Events in Kenya have a regional and international impact and ultimately provoke reactions from the outside.

Let us not lose sight of the fact that Kibaki is a beneficiary of a flawed system, then we can honestly admit that he did in fact lose the election. Coming from that premise we can also argue that the blatant disregard of the rule of law by the ECK lit a tinder-box that almost tore the country asunder, and the rest is history.

If the US, EU, Japan, Canada, UK and other powers had not intervened I can bet my heart that one or other countries in the region would have intervened. Regional analysts opined that had the chaos continued for a couple of months, the economy of Uganda would have collapsed. It is not hard to imagine Museveni moving his soldiers into the country in such a situation (they were allegedly already in Western Kenya). President Kagame had already opined that the military should take over and it wasn't beyond him to move in as well to secure the economic interests of Rwanda. With the fluidity of the situation in Somalia and the ambivalence of Ethiopia pretty soon a Great Lakes conflict ala Congo would have taken place. We should be grateful that at least the West pushed for political solutions. Remember for every Kibaki supporter who feels miffed by the intervention, there are more Kenyans out there who feel cheated that Kibaki has been allowed to retain a bit of the power stolen by manipulation of institutions for selfish purpose. A classic Orwellian study of some animals being more equal than others.

The point here is that intervention was necessary one way or the other. The choice was therefore between violent (armed) intervention or political intervention. To me and most Kenyans, sovereignity is an empty word devoid of meaning if my right to choose the leader of my choice is taken away by institutions that are meant to uphold this very right.

The US democracy may not be perfect, but has evolved over the years to be a good model to be improved on. The Americans also had their civil war and learnt a lesson or two so we can only be the richer for drawing on their experiences.

Kenya is now at a critical stage and a lot of blood has flowed downstream, let us not turn this blood into water under a bridge.
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re: Crisis led to Intervention
written by manta ray , March 17, 2008
Jandege wrote:

Kenyans,

It is amazing to read the criticism of the role played by the US and Western powers following the polls fiasco.

What we need to remind ourselves is that the extra-ordinary scenes coming from Kenya following the announcement by the ECK called for intervention. We may not like the motives of the US but let us not pretend that Kenya is an island, not in this globalised world we are living in. Events in Kenya have a regional and international impact and ultimately provoke reactions from the outside.

Let us not lose sight of the fact that Kibaki is a beneficiary of a flawed system, then we can honestly admit that he did in fact lose the election. Coming from that premise we can also argue that the blatant disregard of the rule of law by the ECK lit a tinder-box that almost tore the country asunder, and the rest is history.

Here we go again. The nauseating self righteous know-it-all haughtiness of the ODM smear machine. Nobody KNOWS WHO WON OR LOST, but ODM fundamentalists want us to believe otherwise. Not that this is surprising, or even anything new: they've been conducting a low intensity hate campaign ever since Kibaki attained recognition of his Presidential authority.
For ODM and its fanatical zealots, the current calm is but a lull before the final push to completely dominate Kenya's political landscape, and that may never happen if Kibaki is allowed the freedom to consolidate his power and therefore his ability to determine his successor. This is a carefully concealed continuation of the same LDP/ODM trojan horse strategy of 2003 i.e work with the system while at the same time undermining its ability to function and deliver by relentlessly questioning Kibaki's legitimacy and trying to shake the confidence of any perceived Kibaki successors within PNU like Kalonzo and Uhuru. Notice the sustained effort to portray Kalonzo as a lightweight politician of no consequence, and to smear Uhuru as a tribal warlord.
This lame-brained strategy will however come a cropper as the ODM mandarins have already telegraphed their intentions courtesy of their unbridled greed.
The demands to control ministries such as Internal security, Finance, roads and public works, Transport and communications plus the civil service all point to a poorly concealed intention to conduct a civilian coup in the near future if they are successful.
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Intervention
written by esther ndubi , March 17, 2008
What we need to remind ourselves is that the extra-ordinary scenes coming from Kenya following the announcement by the ECK called for intervention.

Has it occurred to you that the 'extra-ordinary scenes' could have been pre-planed long before the elections so as to facilitate intervention?
Just consider the fact that the horrors that were repeatedly broadcast all over the world seemed so well choreographed, effectively giving a highly exaggerated picture of what was actually going on so the interventions could be justified, (remember the WMDs?).

I agree with you that intervention was necessary not on account of Kibaki having stolen the election but on account of Kibakis government being unable to contain the situation.

Come to think of it, the government was doing quite a good job of containing the situation. Just consider the fact that affected areas were really quite few, spread to more areas was stymied, mass actions in the CBDs nipped in the bud, etc,. The media naturally chose to give the opposite impression for reasons well known.
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Never Argue
written by dr.phil , March 17, 2008
One thing I have learned since Kenya went through the recent crisis is that do not argue with Raila supporters,they support their man through the heart and cannot possibly reason rationally.
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Facts and Figures?
written by The Falcon , March 18, 2008
Jandege, you make pretty sweeping statements, with little to no proof to back them up. If you do have the proof of clear electoral fraud done by Kibaki and/or affiliates please do share.

I mean the case for Kibaki having lost the election is really very very thin indeed. It is NOT a fact that Kibaki lost the elections. The more diplomatic word would be to say that the poll results were disputed.

There are a lot of people who believe that Kibaki won fairly. Was the process flawed but were the flaws enough to overturn Kibakis victory? I doubt it. If you've been following elections around the world of late, you'll realize that there is n such thing a a perfect election. They are all flawed with varied degrees of imperfections.

Even the US of A which you seem to admire so much, has been witnessing what might also be termed as a flawed process. The results for the Democratic Texas caucus are not out 9 days later and are not expected to be out for a month, and Kenyan voters started killing each other other just because the votes from some parts of the country were delayed for 2 days.

I shouldn't have to remind you of Florida in 2000. The Russian elections was also said to have been rigged. And had Musharaffs party won in Pakistan, those elections would probably have uncovered a fair amount of irregularities, as would have our own elections in 2002 had Uhuru Kenyatta won. Indeed the 1992 and 1997 polls were said to have been rigged. A normal election is a flawed election.

The EU observers who arguably hold the case together for electoral fraud have yet to produce a final report to cement their allegations. As it stands, they observed two constituencies in which the results reported at the constituency level did not tally with those reported at KICC.

There is an investigation on the way, after the report is out and Kibaki and PNU are implicated with hard evidence, then you can make the kind of assertions that you are making now. And the ECK will finally get a fair hearing. I mean this culture of convicting people on hear say needs to stop if Kenya is to mature into a modern state. Whether the ECK disregarded the rule of law, will be better judged by those actually educated to make such a call. Be patient for 3 months.

I agree with you that intervention was necessary not on account of Kibaki having stolen the election but on account of Kibakis government being unable to contain the situation. However I disagree with the way that the powers that be went about this. Quiet diplomacy would also have sufficed to deliver the same messages that were delivered and would have been just as effective. I mean, if it's the theats of visa bans, asset freeze and sanctions that did the trick, those same messages could have been done in such a way as to let us at least maintain some semblance of dignity.

As it is we were unclothed in public and are walking quite naked right now,the government we now have in place is by the west, for the west. No better than Iraq. I guess that sometimes though it's better to face the bitter truth than continue living a lie. Now the whole world knows that Kenyans independence and sovereignty is nothing but a sham, and whats more about 43% of our population is quite happy to live and this imperialist York.
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Government by Default
written by Jandege , March 18, 2008


Just consider the fact that the horrors that were repeatedly broadcast all over the world seemed so well choreographed, effectively giving a highly exaggerated picture of what was actually going on so the interventions could be justified, (remember the WMDs?).

Esther,
The implications of your statement points to a grand conspiracy between the West and ODM. The fact is, the horrors of Kenyans being hacked to death in Naivasha with police watching, while protesters in Kakamega were shot in their backs by the same police didn't need much explaining. In any case it wasn't just the Western media that had journalists in Kenya. Al Jazeera which is not a western media house was reporting, and a host of other African media houses and every channel one tuned to, the madness was evident so it is important to be be objective and accept that something terribly wrong took place.

Manta,
You do admit that nobody knows who won the election yet you do not see anything wrong with Kibaki assuming the presidency? If that is not hypocrisy what is? By admitting that the process was flawed, we should take this premise further. Someone benefitted from a flawed exercise and this was Kibaki. The painful part is that people had to be killed by police and their neighbours to uphold this selfishness.

The fact that no world leader apart from Museveni thought it wise to congratulate Kibaki on his 'victory' says a lot. Even the business as usual AU withheld their endorsement so in the court of world opinion, Kibaki lacks legitimacy and moral authority to govern.

All the electoral observers, domestic, East African and AU representatives reached the same conclusions that Kibaki stole the elections. This should be the barometer of measure. With such a flawed mandate, anyone with morals slightly higher than Mobutu would have called for a repeat poll if they were confident they won, but not Kibaki. New Vision and Monitor newspapers in Kampala report that Museveni had actually presented this as an option to Kibaki. Museveni's argument was that with Kalonzo supporting him then Kibaki could be assured of victory, but still Kibaki was reluctant. What more needs to be said?

Crying wolf while we all know the problem will not help us now and in the future. Confronting the problem and calling it as it is may help. Let us wait for the report from the independent judicial commission to complete their work and should their finding be contrary to what I have argued above, I wil humbly eat my pie.

Till then Kibaki remains an usurper who is president by default. (I speak for myself)




[]

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re: re: Serbia
written by James Macharia , March 18, 2008

At the height of the post polls crisis, there was talk of US bombing and Martha Karua being taken to The Hague. I think Kenyans overrate their significance in world affairs. There are countries that have done worse things than Kenya and nobody has bombed them. Look at Myanmar, Zimbabwe, Pakistan, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Gambia, DRC among many others. Besides, with an upcoming election and commitments in Iraq and Afghanistan, its highly unlikely the US would risk a military intervention in Kenya.

The US is involved in Kenya purely as a safeguard against China. A couple of years back, the US bigwigs accepted that they had lost Sudan to China. Clearly they wouldn't want a repeat of the same as far as Kenya is concerned. If you look at the US Ambassador's speech, he also talks about Somalia, Uganda and the rest of the region as factors why Kenya is important to the US.


Don't underestimate strategic importance in US actions. It was just as important in the US getting into Iraq as the thirst for cheap oil and money for George Bush's Halliburton buddies, plus getting the US Military some money from the national coffers. It's obvious that Kenya is now the US's point man in the region. Not that's it's that important but on what grounds would Martha be taken to the Hague?

I don't think those countries you mention have that much significance as far as US hegemony goes. In the southern tip of Africa, I'm sure South Africa is an ally. Pakistan is a nuclear power that has to be handled like an egg. DRC has probably been kept that way because so as to enable its total exploitation, plus I wouldn't be surprised if a few western countries like France didn't have a lot to do with the present state of that particular nation.

Nigeria has a population of a 100 mill+, obviously anyone wanting to get in there will think long and hard. And finally do you know what kind of resistance our forces would put up? Probably none.
What will 20k ill equipped dudes do against the might of the US Army?
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re: Government by Default
written by James Watt , March 18, 2008

Esther,
The implications of your statement points to a grand conspiracy between the West and ODM. The fact is, the horrors of Kenyans being hacked to death in Naivasha with police watching, while protesters in Kakamega were shot in their backs by the same police didn't need much explaining. In any case it wasn't just the Western media that had journalists in Kenya. Al Jazeera which is not a western media house was reporting, and a host of other African media houses and every channel one tuned to, the madness was evident so it is important to be be objective and accept that something terribly wrong took place.

Manta,
You do admit that nobody knows who won the election yet you do not see anything wrong with Kibaki assuming the presidency? If that is not hypocrisy what is? By admitting that the process was flawed, we should take this premise further. Someone benefitted from a flawed exercise and this was Kibaki. The painful part is that people had to be killed by police and their neighbours to uphold this selfishness.

The fact that no world leader apart from Museveni thought it wise to congratulate Kibaki on his 'victory' says a lot. Even the business as usual AU withheld their endorsement so in the court of world opinion, Kibaki lacks legitimacy and moral authority to govern.

All the electoral observers, domestic, East African and AU representatives reached the same conclusions that Kibaki stole the elections. This should be the barometer of measure. With such a flawed mandate, anyone with morals slightly higher than Mobutu would have called for a repeat poll if they were confident they won, but not Kibaki. New Vision and Monitor newspapers in Kampala report that Museveni had actually presented this as an option to Kibaki. Museveni's argument was that with Kalonzo supporting him then Kibaki could be assured of victory, but still Kibaki was reluctant. What more needs to be said?


There needs no conspiracy for the whole ODM strategy to go off. All they need is to keep producing the images of angry machete wielding youth while the western media houses beam this images to an eagerly awaiting domestic consumers who are thoroughly entertained by picture=s of yet another African nation gone under. Secretly they probably think that Africa should never have gained independence in the first place.Their secret thoughts of the black man being unable to run his affairs confirmed yet again. Deep down we are all savages to them anyway.

ODM youth provide the images, western media houses happily beam them. Yet another real life action thriller made in Africa. ODM leadership benefits by portraying the government as being out of control. If there were no TV caneras, would the protest have achieved anything? Would they have been as prolonged? If a tree falls down in the forest does it make any sound. The relationship is mutually beneficial. The western media houses make big bucks,by getting the story. ODM leadership gets the pressure it needs from western countries. No need for any conspiracy at all.

Not all observers said that Kibaki stole the election and more importantly there is none that provided any concrete proof for their allegations. Only David Ndiis selective mathematics arrived at the conclusion that the election had been rigged in Kibakis favour.

For people who had posted 16 000 + observers, their reports are surprisingly thin on factual documentary backing. Their whole case is based on the discrepancy between the presidential and parliamentary tallies. Here they make the lay down as a fact that the parliamentary tally is correct and the presidential inflated. But can't it just as easily be the other way round?

The AU posted no observers but here is a statement from the Pan African parliament observers.
Again it can be faulted on several fronts. Kiviutu for example was forced to go to the exclusive room because of ODM heckling. If that heckling were not there then the results would have been read at KICC. The statement is written so as to arrive only at the conclusion that the election was rigged. No proof whatsoever.

The same applies to the commonwealth report. Just an assertion without any backing factual whatsoever.It's clear that the stage mane=aged ODM show at KICC had quite an impact on the observers including the EU who sought to discredit the whole poll based on reports from 2 constituencies. A final report that was promised at the end of February is yet to see the light of day. How incompetent can you get. Throw a country in a disarray then disappear quietly into the night.

Lastly the great lakes parliamentarians did say that the polls were rigged but I couldn't find a report from them only some articles.
Link here
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gullibility
written by esther ndubi , March 19, 2008
One thing I have learned since Kenya went through the recent crisis is that do not argue with Raila supporters,they support their man through the heart and cannot possibly reason rationally.

Thank you dr.phil

...The western media houses make big bucks,by getting the story. ODM leadership gets the pressure it needs from western countries....It's clear that the stage mane=aged ODM show at KICC had quite an impact on the observers including the EU...

Do you think these countries are that gullible? and all of them with embassies in Kenya?

(Not quite as gullible as Kenyans are, but still... publicized opinion and media pressure hold a strong sway on European politics, as you must not forget. Foreign politics are influenced by parliaments there, not by tribal BigMen. Ed.)
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Gullibility
written by Jandege , March 19, 2008
According to the AU report, what was clearly stage-managed was the announcement by Kivuitu and Kibaki's golf-buddies only swearing in ceremony within minutes of each other. Never mind that protocol was not observed, the National Anthem was not played and preparations for such a momentous occasion should only take place after the announcement, while in this case everything had been arranged before-hand. Which begs the question, how did the state functionaries know who won before other Kenyans?
Again, Kibaki loyalists will rationalize this no doubt.

Do you think these countries are that gullible? and all of them with embassies in Kenya?

Good question, Esther.

African media gives one a pretty good idea what the rest of Africa thought about Kibaki's misadventure.

Whatever happened in the early days of 2008 is in the public domain but will make a good reading for students of politics on 'How not to Steal and Election'
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...
written by manta ray , March 19, 2008
Manta,
You do admit that nobody knows who won the election yet you do not see anything wrong with Kibaki assuming the presidency? If that is not hypocrisy what is? By admitting that the process was flawed, we should take this premise further. Someone benefitted from a flawed exercise and this was Kibaki. The painful part is that people had to be killed by police and their neighbours to uphold this selfishness.



Jandege, arguing with you is just a waste of time, but know this, if Kibaki did indeed lose the election, well, so did Raila, get it?
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A critique
written by Vitalis Oyudo , April 05, 2008
I am very underwhelmed by Ranneberger's speech. He is certainly not one of the better foreign diplomats in Kenya; numerous of his colleagues in the Corps Diplomatique are much abler and more knowledgeable than him.

A lot of vain captationes benevolentiae annoy the reader or listener in the beginning, far too much sugar molass actually. I understand that he strove to deliver a positive, encouraging speech, rather than the scathing, devastating critique that Kenya and Kenyans presently deserve, but what came out, was sycophantic reality-blindness. A loud whistling in a dark cellar, as to overlay the inquieting noise of the shuffling rats.

We have not seen this crisis reveal any "underlying strengths", as Ranneberger tries to soothsay in a Mutuesque way, but only deep structural weaknesses, weaknesses both of the political system of Kenya and of the collective consciousness of Kenyans. We have - rather - witnessed a near total failure of institutions, and political immaturity to a degree even worse than in the USA themselves (this nation of self-righteous, aggressive children on a mission from God, armed with nuclear bombs).

The US ambassador postulates that "they have been able to find a way back from the edge of the abyss". To me, it rather seems that they [sc. politicians] stood teetering at the edge of the abyss, but now have taken a big step forward. Right now, we see them now hovering in plain mid-air over the void, uneasily trying not to look down, like in a Disney cartoon.

Paising "strong religious institutions" and the unstrong armed forces (both of which did next to nothing to resolve the crisis and to restore order, while thousands were slaughtered, and hundreds of thousands displaced) also sounds more apotropaeic (appeasing, in this case) than anything else. Certainly not realistic.

The ambassador then tries nicely - but so, sooo conspicuously - to ascribe agency to the Kenyan people where in reality it had none. It were not "the Kenyans", it was not Wanjiku who forced reckless, primitively savage politicians to the negotiation table: it was massive pressure both from foreign powers, and from a few Kenyan inland moneybags.

One important (and ill-boding) observation by Ranneberger, worthy of being recalled is "that well over 60 percent of all sitting MPs are newcomers who are being asked, without the benefit of orientation or training, to implement some of the most important legislation in Kenya's history, and then to deal with sweeping and long overdue reforms." This is true; and all the more foolish and self-destructive (in worst Kenyan) spirit was it to elect Marende as speaker, who certainly is not the aptest, not the best man for this most demanding job at *this* crucial moment. But silly party politicks prevailed over parliamentary reason and legislative autonomy.

The idea of a Peace, Truth, and Justice Commission" is too silly to even debate. This is not South Africa, and Kenya has no judiciary nor legal system worthy of their names, nor has she ever known a "rule of law" since the 19th century. Yet only against the background of such a *contrast", would an alternative as such a commission make at all any sense. But Ranneberger's subsequent comments show even clearer that he has not even remotely understood what such a commission would at all be about - has nobody properly briefed him?

Lastly, it is bitterly funny if the US ambassador waxes poetic about 232 years of the American "democratic experiment", at the very time when his half religious fanatic, half fascist president vetoes a bill that would forbid (!) torture, and on the contrary publicly defends that continued torture and concentration camps are indispensable for the protection of this regime.
Kenyans certainly do not need *this* kind of role models and democratic experiments, no thank you, ambassador.

Vitalis Oyudo
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re: Facts and Figures?
written by Wuod Aketch , April 06, 2008

As it is we were unclothed in public and are walking quite naked right now,the government we now have in place is by the west, for the west. No better than Iraq. I guess that sometimes though it's better to face the bitter truth than continue living a lie. Now the whole world knows that Kenyans independence and sovereignty is nothing but a sham, and whats more about 43% of our population is quite happy to live and this imperialist York.


What did you expect? That Kibaki get praise from donors for having rigged the elections? Swearing in the darkness of state house does not allow anybody a chance to find some esteem for this PNU "president". I hope Kenyans have learned and come 2012 will get rid of the dinosaur and his menage. That is, if the big computer that has programed Ruto's old man, does not add mzee Kibaki into it's data base.
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re: Facts and Figures?
written by esther ndubi , April 06, 2008
Wuod you really didn't get what Falcon was saying, did you?
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Right parth
written by Antony Makau , January 28, 2009
Having issues on top of the table is the right way for any democratic country and acting upon them it true way of having light at the end of the dark tunnel , just assist and keep up the spirit of your positive concern to our matters. warm full regards -A.N MAKAU-Sports manager Highrise rovers sports club pumwani slums Nairobi Kenya contact +254 722462982-- This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it
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