You often hear it said that the problem - or, at any rate,
one of the key problems - with Kenya is that we haven't got the institutions to
make democracy work. That's true. It's then supposed to follow that once we
have the right institutions, we're a long way to sorting the matter out. That's probably not true.
One version of the institutional argument goes like this: if
we create sufficient checks and balances around the Presidency, say, then the
costs of doing harm are very significantly raised. So significantly raised, in
fact, that it will be very hard or impossible for the President to act in a way that
contravenes the general will.
The general argument , I think, is that there's a possible
configuration of an institution - expressed in formal rules - that raises the
costs of action enough to guarantee that even a malevolent agent won't be able
to act badly (maybe that's stating it too strongly.) Let's agree to pass over some interesting questions (would a malevolent agent really agree in advance to this set up unless compelled to do so?) The difficulty is that the
rise in the costs of action is supposed to be captured by the formal rules of
the institution (at least initially). But in order for the costs to bite, the
malevolent agent has to be willing to obey the rules, or it must to be possible to compel him to obey them. The President has few superiors, and a sufficiently ruthless or unscrupulous agent will either bend the rules, refer
them to outside adjudication over which he has influence, or simply refuse to
follow them.
We have examples of all three. Odinga Sr. destroyed the post-independence
majimbo constitution by denying the regions money or control of the tribal
police as was. (See pp. 21-22 of Branch and Cheeseman (2006) "The politics
of control in Kenya: Understanding the bureaucratic-executive state,
1952-78"). Kibaki
was very good at referring difficulties to outside adjudication where he would
be sure to find a sympathetic hearing (name your scandal). Moi scorned formal
rules: see his unconstitutional appointment of Musalia as VP.
Institutionalism, this form anyway, is not enough.
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