Kalonzo's antics are his undoing PDF Print E-mail
Written by Rabet Maatari   
Monday, 20 August 2007

Over the past few months ODM-Kenya Presidential candidate Kalonzo Musyoka has exposed his soft underbelly in political strategy, this even as he declares that he is a “master strategist†and a “revolutionary“.

Time and again a serious lack of political acumen has been exhibited by his monstrous blunders made in an effort to "steal the show" from his main rival in the Orange Democratic Movement Raila Odinga.

Having realized earlier that the only person that stood between him and the opposition outfit's leadership mantle was Raila, Kalonzo not by coincidence but by design, chose to portray his stand on issues as completely opposite to his rival's.

A brief trip down memory lane will point to instances where Kalonzo has conspired to outmanoeuver and "steal the show" from Agwambo, as Raila's supporters adoringly refer to him, but has come out bruised and weaker.

From their heydays in LDP, Kalonzo always insisted on taking positions on issues that would project him in the public domain as the alternate center of power in LDP. There was tussle of whether the flag bearer of LDP was to be picked by consensus, delegates or direct voting by members of the party. While Raila favored the delegates method, Kalonzo chose direct voting by members after learning of Odinga's preference and knowing all too well that that his stand would look more democratic. This was done despite the reality being that a direct vote in the nominations would cost a colossal amount of money which LDP did not have. Besides this, there was the difficult issue of identifying the bona fide members of LDP.

After moving to ODM-K, Kalonzo again deliberately opted for the stance of always taking a different view to that of Raila. When the issue of the mode of choosing the ODM-K Presidential Candidate came up in the Naivasha plenary, Kalonzo shifted from his direct vote preference to a delegates system but here again he was taking a diametrically opposite position from Raila. While Raila was for delegates chosen from the constituency level, Kalonzo insisted on having delegates from the sub-location level. When this notion came a cropper, he then insisted that the delegates would only be chosen from the constituency level if their number was increased from Raila's suggested 1000 to 2000. All the while Kalonzo was making these demands, he was in Nairobi to keep an appointment of a TV interview while all party members including all Presidential Candidates were busy holding deliberations at the Naivasha plenary. Ostensibly Kalonzo was issuing his demands via his mobile phone to his group of supporters at the meeting.

Then there was the London trip debacle. All ODM-Kenya Presidential candidates except Raila and Joseph Nyagah failed to make the trip which had been heralded as a "bonding session". Four candidates, Uhuru Kenyatta, Julia Ojiambo, Nazlin Umar and Kalonzo skipped the excursion in solidarity with William Ruto another candidate who reports said had been denied entry into the UK owing corruption cases against him in the Kenyan courts. Two others, Musalia Mudavadi and Najib Balala had originally planned not to travel. On this occasion Kalonzo triumphantly declared he had decided not to travel as a show of support for his "brother" Ruto. His second reason for opting out of the trip was because his intelligence network had reliably informed him that the trip was to be used to clandestinely endorse Raila as the ODM-Kenya flag bearer in this year's election. Clearly his explanation was an attempt to paint Raila as the lone ranger in the movement.

When the Lang'ata MP was preparing to launch his vision in May, Kalonzo sensing the euphoria Raila's event was creating rushed to a Nairobi hotel and unveiled his "tax proposals" to the nation a day before Raila's gala event. Again the motive here was to steal the thunder from Raila who by this time had eclipsed Kalonzo in terms of popularity in opinion polls.

Kalonzo then ridiculously took a swipe at media houses accusing them of giving undue and unwarranted coverage to Raila.

When Uhuru, Ruto, Ojiambo and Nazlin all declared that they would not be submitting their presidential nomination papers back to the Anyang' Nyong'o led ODM-K secretariat but to a properly constituted ODM-K elections board, Kalonzo swiftly joined the bandwagon. He even displayed a copy of a million shillings cheque for the nomination fee while picking up his nomination papers from the secretariat and gleefully declared that money was not the issue. He then refused to hand the cheque to Nyong'o. This stunt was primarily not only geared at seeking cheap publicity, but also taking a swipe at Nyong'o who reportedly is a Raila supporter. He was also intent on quashing the perception that his campaign lacks financial support as opposed to Raila's.

Hot on the heels came the fiasco surrounding the leaked report by the Fred Gumo led ODM-K council of elders, which had controversially favored the candidacies of Musalia or Kalonzo. This led to a flurry of meetings by interest groups within ODM-K which culminated in Rift Valley MPs and Ruto asking Raila to step down in favor of either Musalia or Kalonzo. Kalonzo then seized the opportunity to declare that he and Ruto were like minded and speaking as one when it came to matters pertaining to finding an agreeable ODM-K flag bearer. He quickly then shifted his goal posts declaring that consensus was indeed the best method of choosing the ODM-K presidential candidate and that the delegates or his earlier preferred direct vote where susceptible to infiltration by Government agents and sympathizers. His current stand was of course informed on the misguided perception that Raila ambitions had been "dented" by the leaked report and he Kalonzo was clearly the man of the moment. It is common knowledge of how Raila aptly handled the leaked report and took his quest directly to the people to the chagrin of Kalonzo.

On the eve of the controversial Mombasa ODM-K rally, Kalonzo was again at his best with his "steal the show" antics. He secured an interview with a local daily in which he poked fun at Raila's second liberation credentials. He then famously claimed that his major contribution to Kenya's democratization process was coining the phrase the "Rainbow coalition" and that the first meeting of the Rainbow coalition was held in his room whatever that meant. One wonders whether this interview was the catalyst that led to him being booed and heckled at the Mombasa rally!

Clearly losing major ground to his rival Raila as the Steadman and Infotrak opinion polls suggested, Kalonzo unrelenting and seeking to recover pulled a move he seemingly believed to be deft, but it turned out to be daft. After short consultations with Julia Ojiambo's Labour Party of Kenya he announced his defection to LPK from LDP two parties that were members of ODM-K. It is instructive to note that his defection was motivated by his desire to get out under the suffocating influence of Raila in LDP. He then proceeded to instruct the registered officials of ODM-K led by his supporter Daniel Maanzo who were holding the party in trust to take over the operations of the party from the recognized interim officials led by Henry Kosgei. Raila and company however successfully managed to cast his act as a defection from ODM-K arguing that LPK had contravened the ODM-K constitution by advertising in the newspapers for parliamentary and civic aspirants willing to stand for elections on its party ticket. Kalonzo's "masterstroke" act evidently ended up not having the desired domino effect of gaining him more supporters but instead only a handful of members from his ethnic group jumped ship with him.

And last week when the then Kosgei led faction of ODM-K called a NEC meeting in Nairobi, Kalonzo initially reacted by saying the Maanzo faction would instead be holding the legitimate NEC meeting in Machakos before being reported as saying that he would indeed be attending the NEC meeting in Nairobi. However to political pundit's surprise, Kalonzo called a press conference on the morning of the NEC meeting in which he wasted no time castigating the Kosgei led faction and declaring the soon to be held NEC and its resolutions null and void. He then retreated to his Machakos ethnic backyard for a rally with his supporters who all again consisted of members of his ethnic group. The Nairobi NEC meeting of course resulted in Raila and his group acquiring the first registered ODM party from Lawyer Mugambi Imanyara. In shock and left with an empty shell in the form of ODM-K, all Kalonzo could manage was to call Raila a coward and traitor.

Now while Raila and his group have moved on, Kalonzo is still up to his "steal the show antics" and has reportedly declared that his ODM-K will hold it's Presidential nomination a day before ODM holds it's nomination on September 1st. This according to him will prevent ODM from stealing ODM-K delegates. Talk about stealing! One can't help but to stop and think why delegates of Kalonzo's ODM-K would want to be associated with ODM if they are truly ODM-K delegates. Furthermore, shouldn't it be as clear as day and night the distinction between the two parties with one (ODM) presenting itself as an individual membership party and the other (ODM-K) being a coalition of parties?

From this chronicle, it is evident that Kalonzo is devoid of any originality as far as political agenda setting and strategy are concerned. He should stop passing himself as a Political Strategist and instead refocus his energies on building team skills and political alliances with grassroots leaders countrywide. This he should start by venturing out of his Akamba backyard instead of retreating to it every time he's caught between a rock and a hard place. He should also invest in a different PR team as his current team is doing great injustice to him with their inefficient contributions to his Presidential campaign.





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Kalonzo still at it!
written by Rabet Maatari , August 20, 2007
Recents reports indicate that Kalonzo's ODM-K has announced a rally at Tononoka grounds in Mombasa, on the same day and venue that ODM is supposed to be holding a rally there. This is despite ODM having booked the venue before.
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not over yet
written by Dave Nyambati , August 21, 2007
I abhor the political games our leaders play with the Kenyan people and each other - at our expense.

That being said, I don't think Kalonzo is in as bad a situation as you might have deduced. Before election day, nothing is set in stone! Raila and the ODM leadership realize that to beat Kibaki, they will most certainly need the votes that Kalonzo has.

I think for one Kalonzo is in a much better position to negotiate with Raila than any of the other aspirants who will find it difficult to run a believeable opposing campaign from within ODM.

A day is an eternity in Kenyan politics, look for Raila and Kalonzo to close ranks over the next few weeks. When it is all said and done, it will probably be a Raila-Kalonzo ticket, with the other candidates in diminished roles.

It is important to remember that all these leaders, despite their speeches filled with bombast, would much rather be government ministers than opposition MPs.
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written by Stephen Wanyama , August 22, 2007
Mr Maatari writes a good article, partisan but much more reasoned and eloquent than we are used to from the Langata legislators supporters. I am afraid that I still see kalonzo as the victim of a game whose rules he admittedly has no clue about.

First things first. It is impossible to work with Raila. There's pages on the web, and in newsprint enough to roof every slum in Kibera attesting to this fact, so I will not dwell on it further. Suffice to say however, that there will soon be more evidence of this as the election and perhaps a Raila government take office.

As to Kalonzo's posturing, and his manouevering across the political landscape, one can only say, needs must when the devil drives. Pun unintended, but the empirical record screams just this.

Now, as to why a Kalonzo candidature would be a good thing for Kenya. Here is the reason. It would start from day one as a weak government. Shorn of both financial and tribal clout Kalonzo will have to woo the mwananchi and business to stay in power. He will be kept on his toes by an active opposition, and will have only a small and swattable band of sycophants genuflecting about his throne. Imagine the nightmare of a Raila presidency, or consider what Kibaki has revealed to us.
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Yes, Minister
written by Tim Norwood , August 22, 2007
Preach Stephen. Kenyans would do well to make a pact in law that excludes the larger ethnic groups from top political office until such a time as the nation loses its tribalistic bent. Let the smaller less tribalistic groups hold political power and by default make such power accountable to parliament.
A government led by such a leader as Raila, or Kibaki is by default a tyranny as it is able to rally to its defense unquestioning support that cares not for the national good but more for the survival of its dominion.
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written by vivid , August 24, 2007
I think Kalonzo's only two options are (1) Seal a deal with Kanu and run with Kenyatta as his number two or (2) quickly strike a deal with Mudavadi. The deal with Mudavadi would have to be done before ODM makes Raila official on Sep 1 (some excuse can be concocted to trigger the switch). However, I think once a man has lost an election from such a lofty spot he is humbled so I think Mudavadi will just stick with whatever he's given in ODM. Having Raila run in the President spot is still a highly risky strategy for ODM because they're not doing enough to market him nationally and there isn't enough time left. A better strategy for ODM would be Mudavadi as President, Raila as Prime Minister, and Ruto as VP. That would actually turn out great for Kenya since you know Raila would then do a good job pushing through a constitution change to give him and his successors more power.
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Too Late,..
written by Field Marshall , August 25, 2007
Things can't be patched up between Raila and Kalonzo it's too late now,talk about Egos this two fellas have quite a bit of it,going by the tone of Kalonzo and his Ukambani MP supporters i think they came to the conclusion that if Kalonzo doesn't get the Big seat then Raila shouldn't get it either,hook or crook..Now we have two Opposing Orange sides,it's already a done deal Kalonzo will head one and Raila is set to head the other,i don't understand why they're going through too many formalities and spending so many millions to state the obvious,atleast one thing they both share is knowledge on how to fool their ever faithful Orange supporters,the Referendum/Tsunami Days are long gone my brothers and sisters,what you have on your hands now is the Aftermath,which has only just started...
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Kalonzo and raila to rule keny
written by x , August 28, 2007
Kalonzo and Raila come along way and I do not see them unable to patch their differences after the nomination. Kalonzo has clearly stated that he wants to work with Raila. Raila termed it two tsunamis against Kibaki and I think this is the tsunami he was talking about.
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written by emmo opoti , August 28, 2007
I have never understood why Kenyans are so fixated on the idea of unity. There really is nothing wrong with plurality. If two groups of people cannot agree on what path to take out of a mess, they are really better of apart.

The fact that coalition provisions are not available in our exisiting laws, and that we make these behind the scenes patchwork quilts, sets us up for a repeat of the MoU fracas every single election until we sort it out. To my mind that is the real reason behind all the toing and froing. On the one hand you have the very necessary competition for party tickets, but on the other you have no safety net for the losers of such contests. What the Kibaki State House did to the LDP group killed any fantasies about altruism and the legitimacy of political pledges.
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