I have -- in addition to the White House and the United Nations'
headquarters in New York -- been privileged to spend some time at the
United States' Naval Academy in Annapolis, Maryland and the Pentagon in
Arlington, Virginia.
At both places, I was impressed by America's holistic thinking when it comes to matters of national security, which they take quite seriously. For several decades now, there has been reflection within the American military-industrial complex and intelligence communities on the connection between the environment and Uncle Sam's security interests, home and away. And even when both Democrats and Republicans remain divided -- in public, at least -- on whether or not global warming is real, the men and women who think and fight for America continue to do the necessary, and provoke public debate where appropriate.
I was on the Hill ahead of the historic American polls last year, and every think-tank or Congressional event I attended had Americans probing their present and future with regard to the environment, regardless of political persuasion. At the American Enterprise Institute -- traditionally a Mecca for America's right -- I attended an even where both Democrats and Republicans appeared to agree that whoever would take over from President George Bush would have to stay true to America's triad of defense, diplomacy and development in re-setting the button of domestic and foreign policy. In Africa, it was argued, such a foreign policy would have to be re-calibrated to include America's sensitivities on the environment, even as profit remains the bottom line. I'm not certain anyone from the Kenyan embassy attended, but I remember seeing friends from various African missions in Washington, D.C taking notes religiously.
In major Western capitals, and even the East, where Nairobi is looking to these days, there is an acknowledgment -- even if silent in some quarters -- that national security in our days is going to rely on much more than a small, mobile, well-equipped system, or even such an effective thinking as the Powell Doctrine, deployed effectively in the first Gulf War.
In a sense, therefore, security and intelligence experts are these days giving as serious attention to changes in weather and climate patterns as they are to social, economic, military and political changes in countries within their spheres of influence.
Which is why Defense Minister Yusuf Hajji's reported attendance of the Mau "fund-raiser" last Wednesday left a bitter taste in my mouth. With the privileges that go with his position, this is a man one would expect to know what is unfolding in the country, with all its permutations. Even without the, doubtless, quality intelligence from the Kenyan military and the National Security and Intelligence Service (NSIS), one presumes scientific research already in the public domain would have found its way to the man in charge of Kenya's external defense, as indeed his counterpart for internal security.
Which makes me wonder, what political interests would be so precious as to blind the minister and his friends from this understanding? What future are we supposed to wait for in 2012, if we are, in the words of Francis Imbuga, "already killing our future?" For it is Imbuga's Mosese Tonga who, in Betrayal in the City, laments: "It was better while we waited. Now we have nothing to look forward to. We have killed our past, and are busy killing our future."
As a believer in a strong national defense and intelligence system, I dare suggest that our politicians are the biggest danger to Kenya's security interests. From reckless remarks, activities and - in the Mau affair - irresponsible associations, they leave no doubt that they would gladly have us fry in our oil as they build their futuristic fantasies. Even more appalling, this is coming our way from a people whose fellow countryman -- Wangari Maathai -- has won a Nobel for understanding the link between the environment and political stability.
Much more damning, in my view, is the ideological implication: The Mau fund-raiser brought together orphans of what is generally seen as Kenya's conservative political wing. From Melbourne to London, Ontario to D.C and everywhere else, conservatives are folks who are supposed to score high on national security and put the fear of God in seemingly spineless moderates and leftists. What Prime Minister Raila Odinga, traditionally viewed as center-left, appears to have cast himself as the precise opposite on this subject upsets the apple cart for those with a keen eye for policy-based politics.
True, there may be genuine humanitarian concerns in the on-going eviction process.
But it may well just be that in the future Kenya and East Africa, some kids will review their history books, and wonder about a forest called Mau, a generation in government that was frighteningly "futuristic" and a Prime Minister who saved the day at great personal cost.
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The write is a political strategist (www.jesse-masai.com)
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Let's put this in bold quotes so it is clear to everyone.
The issue here really is not one of whether people ought to move out of the Mau or not. It is about how to move those people out.
There isn't a single Kenyan public office holder who has refused to have the squatters move out of the forest.
Second, and this needn't be a newsflash. Raila Odinga is not from the left. He has never been, you are mistaking him for his father. Raila and the ODM wing are only socialists in the sense that the brownshirts were. Their's is an easy third-world demagoguery. What leftist would be involved in the privatisation of public/ trust property like the Kisumu Molasses factory or the proposal to privatise the lake(however legal you may deem it?). A leftist of what persuasion would evince such a disloyal relationship with human rights as to have a career of violence and intimidation as has Raila Odinga? What leftist would rule his tribe as a fiefdom like Raila does? What redistributive (not in favour of the rich, but in the opposite direction) has Raila delivered in his fiefdom, what is he proposing to deliver in his tenure as Prime Minister?
If Raila Odinga is centre-left, then Moi and the former KANU types surely are too.
The Mau is an issue of national security, which is why all the smart Kenyan leaders, including Yusuf Haji (one time Rift Valley PC) attended that function. The images Kenyans are watching on their television screens are truly disturbing, and they are provoking real anger among the Kalenjin people. No one attending the fund-raiser spoke for the continued settlement of the Mau. What has been reported was a demand that those evicted be treated humanely, as both the Cabinet and Parliament had agreed and decreed.
Please see the statements from the Khalwale/ Mungatana group, who even as they called for calm, acknowledged that the evictions were being conducted in a manner inconsistent with the agreed upon plan.
Our experience as a nation, from North Eastern province after independence, to Nyanza in the 1990s, to the Pre and Post-Election violence periods shows that the steady demonisation of an ethnic group is a guaranteed recipe for ethnic strife. That seems to be what the MPs at the PanAfric dinner were working against, you Jesse, should be proud of them.