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Never Fear,China's Here PDF Print E-mail
Written by 094825   
Tuesday, 23 January 2007

For the coming New Year on February 17, the year of the Pig,Beijing sent, with love and kind wishes an anti-satellite missile test.

All went well and in the ensuing aftermath, tonnes of disused space equipment were sent hurtling in space, threatening your TV reception or mobile phone network and perhaps providing another excuse in the worn handbook listing reasons why Bin Laden still roams free.

In the West they have hee-hawed and a few jingoists and racialists, having long since lost the plot, called for diplomatic and military measures to be taken against the Giant Panda. What exactly these measures would entail or indeed the specific utility of attacking the very country that you must at all costs keep happy is lost on me, but for some in the West, talking tough is an entirely wholesome intrinsic good that needs no qualifying.

Contrary to what blather your nearest vendor of Newspeak may be doling, the Chinese fire-cracker was not exactly a surprise. According to this report here in the Christian Science Monitor- note the authors- the Chinese have for a very long time sought to bring to the negotiation table the issue of anti-satellite missile technology desiring that it be banned. After having these overtures turned down by the USA, the Chinese borrowed a good leaf from their predecessors as masters of humanity, i.e the Americans, and decided to flex some love muscle.

Now it remains to be seen what the American response will be, but the USA set the precedent for this when they pulled just such a move in the early 1980's deploying medium range missiles in Europe to compel the Soviets to negotiations on limiting such weaponry. Given the fact that the Bush administration has been consistent in its global sabre-rattling and in its refusal to discuss legal agreements that could restrict countries from acquiring these capabilities; the Chinese move ought perhaps to be lauded by all mankind. This is especially the case as we would find it quite unpleasant to have assorted debris  from a space-war peppering our cities or potholing our highways ( scared?) , regardless of how feeble and inconsequential our international voice is. 

That said, if like me you are infected with a healthy dose of cynicism about America and her being a ‘force of good' -thank you Sean Hannity- then you will be pleased to have it confirmed with the knowledge that the USA was very interested in taking the very same path the Chinese have taken, and that this furore is just a mild case of petulance from the playground bully.

Some souls aflutter declare that this ought to be a reason to fear some more for our already dangerous and terrified world, that here is another plain where we ‘the grass' would encounter the heavy hooves of the battling pachyderms. It is more likely though that these are the first signs of the rousing of the Panda, and that underpinning the détente that has prevailed previous to this test, is an understanding that some kinds of strife are best avoided. So we cross our fingers, alive to the truth that they may stay crossed for eternity, that before this goes any further, the Americans take a hint, and agree to leave space free of their aggression.


094825
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good article
written by Dave Nyambati , January 23, 2007
The Bush administration is most to blame for the current situation. The Military-Industrial complex that Eisenhower warned about is behind the military-force-first stance that the administration has taken that has them wanting bigger and badder weapons to stay ahead of likely enemies – hence their recent change of heart regarding the militarization of space and their reluctance to support a ban on space weapons.

But for all their talk about the military option, in truth all it is is just that...talk – and all the relevant parties know it! The US is not in any position to take any kind of adverse military action on a nuclear capable, rising super power with the largest army in the world.

If sanctions are imposed successfully, while hard on China, could wreck havoc on world economies because of the sheer size of Chinese imports. Also sanctions are unlikely to force Hu Jintao’s hand (with their stance of demonstrating strength in place of concessions as a negotiating tool) and will only harm the population as has been shown with other countries in the past.

Diplomacy is the only viable option and the Bush administration would be wise to take it. China is ready to talk with the aim of improving its image and standing with the west and the rest of the world. They would like to assume a big brother role and be viewed as a more responsible law abiding member of the international community.

Level minded heads have to come together and put a stop to what could possibly escalate to the new space arm’s race – which is the last thing the world needs!
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Weiji
written by Spirogyra , January 23, 2007
Weiji in Chinese lexicography means a moment of incipient danger.President Bush just announced a new U.S space policy meant to ensure unmitigated American access to space and to dissuade and deter hostile deployment of space assets by other nations. American military preponderance is based on it's copious use of satellite-tracking technology and it's concomitant dissemination to the ground forces. In the geo-political context of the Taiwan issue, the Chinese just made a move on the chess board. Quo Vadis, Hu Jintao?
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the big boys game
written by ss2 , January 23, 2007
let the powerful show off. now america have a challenger just like any other competitor. go on china man you support africa so good luck and show the ignorants the way ahead and you are there. ready to strike
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Spiro
written by emmo opoti , January 24, 2007
In the geo-political context of the Taiwan issue, the Chinese just made a move on the chess board. Quo Vadis, Hu Jintao?


I do not think the Chinese are just bluffing. They do have what it takes to bring the Americans down a notch or two. Already, they control too large a slice of the world pie and are too well organised for the USA to even contemplate military action against them.

You have seen that all of the might of the USA cannot control Iraq, what then will be the consequence of aggression against China? Wars are themselves funded using debt, the Americans are already largely over-stretched and one of their biggest creditors is China. Indeed so deep is the USA in the Chinese pocket, one could say China ( and Japan) is funding the War on Terror and the illegal war on Iraq.

The trouble as I see it comes when the USA gets too close, eg a ground invasion of Iran (with whom both China and the other bear Russia share a border). That said, all China may have been doing was reminding us of its presence. Remember that just a few weeks ago, the USA and India signed a nuclear technology deal, no way this went down well in Beijing.

In the end, the Panda may just have been stirring, but the lesson is that it does carry a heavy punch, gentle and cuddly though it seems.

On Taiwan,
I do not believe that either China or the USA will ever fight a war over Taiwan, it may be the excuse one side uses, but it will not be the reason. About half of Taiwanese including a large party presently in the opposition, believe in One China and are very close to the mainland. Even more importantly, the economies of the two countries are so closely inter-linked that unification would be an entirely feasible task. Like in the Korean example, it is the alien sabre-rattler that is forcing hatches to be battened down, and turning sunshine into Cold Wars.
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Rable Rouser
written by Kamau , January 24, 2007
More importantly what does this mean for Kenya? Should we start buying military arms and training from China? Are they cheaper, will it have strings attached? How will that affect the penitence we get from the west in militarily aid?
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Rabble rouser?
written by emmo opoti , January 24, 2007
There's nothing the Americans or the Chinese could give us that would protect us from Kenya's real enemies. Poverty and disease.

I am for the total abolition of the Kenyan Armed Forces and for their replacement with a well-trained National Guard and Coast Guard. For a country as poor as ours, we waste billions on military spending that would work miracles if used on the rest of the country.

Again, there is absolutely no use Kenya having a military at all, unless machismo and the emotional ties to our imperial masters, both Eastern and Western count for anything.
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Rabble rouser
written by Kamau , January 24, 2007
I was thinking of us invading and occupying Somalia to “stabilize” the country. Kind like Syria did Lebanon. We can then create a market for Kenyan industries there.

We have never been in the business of poverty and disease reduction why start now?
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China Vs. US
written by Obamab , January 30, 2007
China does not hold anything on the US as far as the war machinery is concerned but US will be entering into economic apocalypse if they were to engage china in anything. This is primarily the reason why the US is trending softly when it comes to Iran. No one is looking to engage in another cold war, although President Bush’s arrogant chase of the so called ‘axis of evil’ countries will be putting every nation on edge, and making them align with either economic power. (Mark the choice of words)

There's nothing the Americans or the Chinese could give us that would protect us from Kenya's real enemies. Poverty and disease.


The issue about the cozying up of the Chinese to African countries, especially countries like Kenya that the west would like to control, is what has made the Kenya be able to get changes instituted by the west, the push of debt forgiveness and the ease of sanctions by western countries. This is in direct relation to the Chinese factor. The Kenya government is benefiting or has the potential to benefit by playing both sides for what they are worth. Kenyans would benefit from the relationship that exist between the US and China.
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written by emmo opoti , January 30, 2007
Obamab,
Are you related to the Mheshimiwa?

I do not think the Chinese 'control' the American military, nor its military spending. However, considering the large size of the USA's budgetary allocations to its armed forces, and considering how much of that is debt-financed, China does have an extra-ordinary contribution to America's imperialistic swagger.

Remember the Paulson trip to China? The West is in something of a quandary here, a behemoth that unlike the Arabs cannot be bought or infiltrated or denigrated without risking an economic fall-out.

On Iran, it is a case of who blinks first. I am sure George W and Dick Cheney are capable of doing whatever it takes, but they will have to go in and come out the same day, nothing like what they have done in Iraq. Iran is a little too close to the Chinese, but the Chinese themselves would not want to get into a war so soon and might forgive a moment's lunacy. The American Empire can scapegoat Bush and W, while Obama or Hillary or Edwards continue in much the same vein.

The trouble is that such a strike while annoying Iran, and irritating China, India and Russia will have very little in positive benefits. The chances of toppling the regime are nil, the chances of destroying any nuclear facilities are also close to nil. Indeed the end result would be to whip up Iranian patriotism and justify the hardliners who believe nuclearisation is an imperative protection against American bravado.

P.S Has no one ever wondered why India, China and Russia - the countries most likely to suffer from a nuclear Tehran ( energy disputes, border disputes, trade disputes, etc) are less bothered about it than America which is a million miles away? Would all three of these world powers of tomorrow be so suicidally negligent, or is it the Americans who are lying again?
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 25 January 2007 )
 
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