For the coming
New Year on February 17, the year of the Pig,Beijing
sent, with love and kind wishes an anti-satellite missile test.
All went well and in the ensuing aftermath,
tonnes of disused space equipment were sent hurtling in space, threatening your
TV reception or mobile phone network and perhaps providing another excuse in
the worn handbook listing reasons why Bin Laden still roams free.
In the West
they have hee-hawed and a few jingoists and racialists, having long since lost
the plot, called for diplomatic and military measures to be taken against the
Giant Panda. What exactly these measures would entail or indeed the specific
utility of attacking the very country that you must at all costs keep happy is
lost on me, but for some in the West, talking tough is an entirely wholesome intrinsic good that needs no
qualifying.
Contrary to
what blather your nearest vendor of Newspeak may be doling, the Chinese
fire-cracker was not exactly a surprise. According to this report here in the
Christian Science Monitor- note the authors- the Chinese have for a very long time sought to bring
to the negotiation table the issue of anti-satellite missile technology
desiring that it be banned. After having these overtures turned down by the USA, the
Chinese borrowed a good leaf from their predecessors as masters of humanity, i.e
the Americans, and decided to flex some love muscle.
Now it
remains to be seen what the American response will be, but the USA set the precedent for this when they pulled
just such a move in the early 1980's deploying medium range missiles in Europe to compel the Soviets to negotiations on limiting
such weaponry. Given the fact that the Bush administration has been consistent
in its global sabre-rattling and in its refusal to discuss legal
agreements that could restrict countries from acquiring these capabilities; the
Chinese move ought perhaps to be lauded by all mankind. This is especially the
case as we would find it quite unpleasant to have assorted debris from a space-war peppering our cities or potholing our highways ( scared?) , regardless of how feeble and
inconsequential our international voice is.
That said, if like me you are infected with a healthy dose
of cynicism about America and her being a ‘force of good' -thank you Sean
Hannity- then you will be pleased to have it confirmed with the knowledge that
the USA was very interested in taking the very same path the Chinese have
taken, and that this furore is just a mild case of petulance from the playground bully.
Some souls aflutter declare that this ought to be a reason to fear some
more for our already dangerous and terrified world, that here is another plain where we ‘the
grass' would encounter the heavy hooves of the battling pachyderms. It is more
likely though that these are the first signs of the rousing of the Panda, and
that underpinning the détente that has prevailed previous to this test, is an
understanding that some kinds of strife are best avoided. So we cross our fingers, alive to the truth that they may stay crossed for eternity, that before this goes any further, the Americans take a hint, and agree to leave space free of their aggression.
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But for all their talk about the military option, in truth all it is is just that...talk – and all the relevant parties know it! The US is not in any position to take any kind of adverse military action on a nuclear capable, rising super power with the largest army in the world.
If sanctions are imposed successfully, while hard on China, could wreck havoc on world economies because of the sheer size of Chinese imports. Also sanctions are unlikely to force Hu Jintao’s hand (with their stance of demonstrating strength in place of concessions as a negotiating tool) and will only harm the population as has been shown with other countries in the past.
Diplomacy is the only viable option and the Bush administration would be wise to take it. China is ready to talk with the aim of improving its image and standing with the west and the rest of the world. They would like to assume a big brother role and be viewed as a more responsible law abiding member of the international community.
Level minded heads have to come together and put a stop to what could possibly escalate to the new space arm’s race – which is the last thing the world needs!