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New constituencies - much ado about nothing? |
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Written by Open Thread
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Wednesday, 25 July 2007 |
Kenya has at present 210 constituencies, which number is the maximum legal limit. The government has in recent weeks sought to increase that number of seats.
This move, which many admit is long overdue given demographic changes since the law was written, has been opposed by the opposition, principally members of ODM-K, which sees this as an attempt at gerrymandering.
The government on its part has pointed out the injustice of a constituency the size of Embakasi with 558,587, or Langata with over 280,238 residents have the same representation in the legislature as a constituency with less than 50,000 voters like those in the arid areas of the North. Crucially however, the new constituencies may swing the balance of power, especially with opinion polls indicating that pro-President Kibaki forces are unlikely to fare well at the election under the status quo.
How can a balance be struck, and is the problem the government's unilateral approach or is the opposition making a fuss over nothing? The Constitution does after all demand constituency revisions every 10 years.
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Last Updated ( Wednesday, 25 July 2007 )
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The question is whether a fractured opposition can turn this to their benefit. As disorganised as they ar, all the gerrymandering will be done by ECK, and they will be left whining after the fact. Where are boundaries drawn, and will it result in more Raila MPs or more Kibaki MPs? If they are asleep on their watch, the Central Kenya party could end up controlling Kenyan politics for ever.