What is most glaring in the contrast between them ( apart from the fact that more respondents answered the first poll than the second ) is that whereas the first one, the one that asks about the elections has a wide number of disparate views; the second one is very one-sided.

In the first poll, we ask Kenyans who it is they believe will become President and Vice President of Kenya after the General Election later this year.  In the second we ask respondents to rate the development record of the Kibaki government on a scale of 1-10.

Admittedly the Presidential poll may be coloured much differently than our permutations allow as the different parties realign themselves following the nomination process. Also the permutations we offer favour a Kibaki-Raila face-off at the expense of other candidates. That said, President Kibaki enjoys an overall lead of just 4% over ODM-K's Raila Odinga's 38%.  Given that they are represented in 3 tickets as Presidential candidate (for analysis we give zero-weight to Raila's Vice-Presidential votes), we find that this is a fair compromise. All the same it is pretty close.

The poll on economic development on the other hand, shows a much more favourable response for the NARC-K government. 63% of respondents give a 6 points or above rating. Taking out the figures of those who give an average rating, i.e. 5 or 6 points, the approval ratings for Kibaki's work are even starker. 71% of respondents with a strong opinion of the character of the government's record on development voted to give the Kibaki government 7 or more points. In fact, the number of those giving the government a 10/10 rating 23 votes almost equals the sum of those giving it a 4 points and lower rating.

Are there other factors at play, that whittle down Kibaki's rating as a President, even as Kenyans seem to approve of his development record?