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There's more to the storm than its eye PDF Print E-mail
Written by Nanjala Nyabola   
Thursday, 17 January 2008

I love a good debate as much as the next person but it's always difficult when people take what you say out of turn, out of context and then turn it around and base an entire argument on that.

A great part of reading an article is picking out the nuances in the text as well as the general drift of the article. My fear is that a lot of people have picked up on the general drift of my article from the 16th of January and completely missed the little nuances and thus the spirit in which the article was written.

All the statistics that I based my arguments upon were derived from reports on CNN and Al Jazeera because its is virtually impossible to access such information from a Kenyan source when one is not in Kenya. If they were wrong, I humbly apologise, it was never my intention to mislead anyone. And now, here is my response to Daniel Waweru's rejoinder:

The author concedes that Kenyatta's government forces overreacted to the threat in Nyanza that day and it was this overreaction that in my opinion was the catalyst for some of the problems we see today. The fact is the crowd may have been fired upon for other reasons but most of them, if not all of them, were Luo. When the story gets retold therefore it is not retold as government forces firing upon protesters, but Kenyatta's forces firing upon Luo. While in an ideal world people would retell a story with precision and exactly the way it happened, in the real world perception is reality, and the perception was the latter.

I think it irrelevant whether or not Kenyatta, or Odinga, was right in his reaction or counter-reaction to that incident or in their politics at that time. The point, and this Waweru misses completely, is that the perception on the ground was that Kenyatta was attacking the Luo. And this perception was, in my opinion the seed of the mistrust and hatred between the two groups that has persisted until today. Jaramogi Odinga may very well have been planning a coup, but whatever the personal or political issues between the two men what matters is that in reacting against the people and not the politician Kenyatta inadvertently opened the door for the mistrust that we are seeing today.

My recounting of the Rift Valley clashes is much more immediate. I was only seven years old, but I recall almost vividly, the tension and anxiety that it caused around the country. Is it not a fact that every five years in peri-urban Rift Valley we witness tribal clashes and the displacement of large groups of people? Is it also not a fact that politicians were indicted in the Akiwumi report for fostering the violence? Human Rights Watch notes :

 "Kenya Report: Politicians Fueled Ethnic Violence"

In 1991, President Daniel arap Moi of Kenya confidently predicted that the return of his country to a multiparty system would result in an outbreak of tribal violence that would destroy the nation. His prediction was alarmingly fulfilled as violent clashes between different ethnic groups erupted across the country from 1991 to 1998. However, far from being the spontaneous result of a return to political pluralism, there is clear evidence that the government helped to provoke this ethnic violence for political purposes and did not take adequate steps to prevent it from spiraling out of control. "

(Human Rights Watch Website, 2008 )

And this is the second argument that Waweru completely missed. I do not posit that 1992 was worse, or that there is anything at all trivial about this years violence. I merely contend that as Kenyans should acknowledge the truth; that our politicians have been exploiting us and our brothers across the ethnic divide for generations. Any Kenyan who believes that any politician who was ever in parliament before 2002 has not in some some way exploited ethnicity for political gains is highly delusional and a hypocrite. And I emphasise the words any politician. Moi, Kibaki, Odinga, Musyoka, Murungaru, Murungi, Mudavadi, Saitoti - any politician.

The protests that we are seeing on the streets of Nairobi, Mombasa and Kisumu are not tribal, they are political. The targeting that we are seeing in Eldoret, Molo, parts of Kisumu, parts of Nairobi and parts of Central and Eastern provinces are ethnically motivated but that is a separate issue.

A perceived injustice has been committed in these elections and that is a fact. This article has not the time or space for debating this, but it suffices to say that many, perhaps not all, of the youth protesting alongside ODM are not protesting because they are anti-Kikuyu but are angry because they were sold the ideal of democracy. As a result, they turned out in huge numbers, braving the hot sun and long queues to vote. And to see that ripped away from them with apparent impunity by the very institutions that were conceived to preserve the integrity of their votes has made them rightly angry.

Regardless of whether or not the ODM or the PNU or the ODM-K rigged the elections, only the PNU was caught in the full glare of the media and hence only the PNU is perceived as the culprit by the Kenyan electorate. Remember in politics and much of life, perception is reality. We all watched that Electoral Commission officer stand up and tell us that he was risking his life by informing us that public servants were even as he spoke inflating the results for districts in Eastern province, we listened to the EU observers confirm that account and we've seen all other nations except Uganda refuse to congratulate Kibaki because they do not believe that his election was legitimate. What else should we conclude?

I think it is more to do with the intensification of media attention than you are willing to give the media credit for. The difference between 1992 and 2007 is that today we know that at least 600 people have been killed so far because KTN, NTV, CITIZEN and other broadcasters report that more than 600 people have been killed around the country. In 1992 even at the heart of the clashes in Kenya, with the withdrawal of international aid and other problems, the first item in the news on KBC was reliably "Mtukufu Rais Daniel Arap Moi leo ali..."

The only statistics we have on the 1992 clashes are those that the selfsame government - which was perpetrating a lot of the crimes - gave us or allowed the media to give us. How do you know how many people were buried somewhere in a forest or disappeared from their homes and were never heard from again? Today Kenyans, even at the heart of this crisis, got up got dressed and tried to go to work. In 1992 the sense of fear was palpable because no one wanted to be the next guy in the Nyayo House basement. And why do you think even today in 2007 the police post so many GSU people around the city mortuary? As the adage goes, if a tree falls in the forest and nobody hears it, how do you know it fell?

 Information is power and this is why the very first target of military coups across the world are broadcasting stations.  Control the media and you are one step forward in the effort to controlling the entire population. And that's the key difference between the clashes this year and the clashes of 1992.  In 1992 the state had more or less complete control over the media, today it does not. The media is a tool of indoctrination, a little nugget that Moi seems to have whispered into Kibaki's ear and that is why the first act of our new government was to ban live broadcasts. 

I applaud your efforts to help your friends. If more people acted with such magnanimity perhaps our country would have been spared some of the atrocities we are witnessing today. However, and this with all due respect, if you believe that Mungiki is not carrying out reprisals against groups simply because it has not been reported on television or in the newspapers then you do not yet understand Kenya. Two days before I left Kenya, I sat next to a girl on a matatu talking to her friend reporting that in Dandora Phase 4 where she lives, people are being lynched just for being Luo, and that one body remained sprawled in the streets for almost 3 days. Who do you believe? 

Once again, and without in anyway diminishing the value, validity and disturbing nature of what you've shared about the atrocities being committed against the GEMA and Kisii people, or your contention that the Mungiki, allow me to counter with a clip from the BBC Monitor secti0n of their website, that compiles general sentiments from blogs around the world ;

"Some blogs appeared to be calling for reprisal attacks.

The Standard and Daily Nation newspapers have reported that leaflets were circulating in Central Province - the Kikuyu heartland - warning members of other ethnic communities to leave. The reports said that close to 1,200 people had left their homes in fear and were camping at police stations, and that at least four of them were suffering from bad knife wounds, after they were attacked.

Reacting to this development on Kikuyu.com, Maituwiti (our mother, in Kikuyu) said: "Those who advocated violence against the Kikuyus in Rift Valley and Nyanza, may have banked on the fact that in the past Kikuyus hardly ever retaliate.

"Those tribes have no problem castigating the Kikuyus even as they massacre them, then they cry so loud trying to drown out the cries of the majority of the victims."

Contributor Moderator1 supported these sentiments, saying "What goes around comes back around. They did not except [as published, presumably expect] the victims to just take it and do nothing or did they?" he added.

"Leave these Luos alone," wrote Chuchu155 in the Kikuyu language, adding, "Let's write in Kikuyu so that [others] do not know what is going on."

EXTREMISM

Reacting to last week's claim by the chairman of the Kenya National Commission on Human Rights, Maina Kiai, that the Kibaki government was using the banned Mungiki sect, whose members are largely Kikuyu, to protect the Kikuyu community, contributor Gikenye wrote on Kikuyu.com that, "what is wrong with Mungiki resurrecting? nothing. They are standing up to fight for the house of Mumbi!!!!" [Mumbi is the mother of the Kikuyu people, according to Kikuyu oral tradition.]

Other members of the pro-Kikuyu forum seemed to support this view. Njau ya Mbogo [child of a buffalo, in Kikuyu] wrote, "What has Mungiki done or what would they do that hasn't already been done to our people by," what he called, "ODM-sponsored savage terrorists and murderers?"

Writing on the same forum, Bugus said, "We need to defend ourselves," adding in Kikuyu that, "it is time to open our eyes because these people are finishing us.""

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To finish I would like to stress, emphasise (and other superlatives) in my opinion there are two separate issues occurring side by side. The ethnic issue in Kenya is pervasive, historical and sadly has been exploited, many times violently, by successive generations of politicians and even non-politicians for electoral gain. The political issue, the perceived (I refuse to be drawn into that argument here) rigging of the elections by the PNU is a separate animal that is barely 3 weeks old.

I contend that the government, has sought to link the ethnic to the political to position themselves as the only group in Kenya that can get us out of this mess and hence gain some political mileage, a plan that is working to some extent. I insist that ethnicity, being as pervasive as it is in the day to day lives of Kenyans is the equivalent of the American "Race Card" in Kenya, a measure of last resort employed by politicians to justify seemingly irrational behaviour. I stress that if politicians in some way allowed rationality to creep back into their consciousness they would find that most Kenyans, even those currently engaged in running battles with the police in Nairobi, want peace, but they want justice more, and they view their security as expendable in the quest for what they perceive as Justice.

 I conclude therefore, and this is the premise of my previous article, that the international media has conflated the two issues - the ethnic and the political - and emerged with a gory picture of Kenya that many of us who have lived our whole lives there will find unfamiliar and disturbing. Think what you may about Rwanda, but regardless of what CNN tells you, there was a political issue at the heart of the genocide - poor representation of a section of the population in the government and other institutions coupled with exploitation and harassment, and their perceived involvement in the assassination of Juvénal Habyarimana. This was then shrouded in ethnic terms - the community was Tutsi - which in turn led to the genocide. Kenya is not there yet, but if we continue to stretch the cloak of ethnicity over the mutually exclusive political issue we may just get there.


Nanjala Nyabola
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I agree
written by Shiroh , January 18, 2008
Kenya is not there yet, but if we continue to stretch the cloak of ethnicity over the mutually exclusive political issue we may just get there.


Your article is totally on point.
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this is a bar that\'s a hair a
written by Digital Blasphemy , January 18, 2008
"All men dream: but not equally. Those who dream by night in the dusty recesses of their minds wake in the day to find that it was vanity: but the dreamers of the day are dangerous men, for they may act out their dream with open eyes, to make it possible."

--Lawrence of Arabia, Seven Pillars of Wisdom

We Should Ask Ourselves...WHAT IS THE END GAME? WHAT WILL BE GAINED AND BY WHOM...
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JUSTICE & FAIRNESS
written by Roni , January 18, 2008
What we need to gain is truth, justice and fairness. It will not come today and it will not come easy but it must prevail in all corners of life and at all costs. Today they might be votes stolen, tommorow it will be something else that you so very much cherish. The time is now.
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memories for the future
written by Liisa , January 18, 2008
Not long ago I used to meet people who were proud of Kenya because it was a peaceful country. And yet, like you write, there has been violence used in political campaigns, assasinations, resource conflics and conflicts that appear to be ethnic. The images of authorities forcefully evicting hawkers from city centres are troubling, yet we do not question althoug it is a vivid picture of a society economically divided.
Now we see pictures of well dressed politicials with names, greeting one another at the opening of the parliament - many of them have been there before representing some political party or another, usually another in the Kenyan style of multi-partyism. There are also the clips of demonstrators, who are described as coming from poor areas, not so much seen as individuals, but pictured more as a mobb.
When the time is right, we should remember to start asking the right questions.
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Ugandan Soldiers in Eldore
written by Gwasimu , January 18, 2008
It is very disturbing to note that despite all their protestations that no Ugandan Soldiers are in Kenya, all evidence points to that as a fact. All Kenyans know this story ... "gichana gucha hapa, unatoga wabi, etc etc" trademark of our poorly educated Kenyan police force, and the GSU is none the better.
It is also worthy to note that standard issue for the GSU is an AK-47 rifle, where in the world did those GSU officers who attacked Eldoret Hospital get the G3 rifles? No self-respecting GSU commando walks around in a G3!
So how do you explain GSU officers who cannot speak Swahili? As detailed in the East African Standard:
Incendiary, emotive allegations excised,Ed.

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re: Ugandan Soldiers in Eldore
written by aeichener , January 18, 2008

It is also worthy to note that standard issue for the GSU is an AK-47 rifle, where in the world did those GSU officers who attacked Eldoret Hospital get the G3 rifles? No self-respecting GSU commando walks around in a G3!


Careful. I know both automatic rifles (the G3 was my nominal issue gun, though on guard duty we carried the more convenient and handy Israeli Uzi submachineguns), and your statement is at best misleading. Yes, the G3 is more clumsy to carry around and not comfortable to handle in crowded and confined spaces; it also weighs more than the AK-47, especially in comparison to the issues later AKM versions. Kenya Police and Administration Police are issued both AK-47 and G3, and the GSU is no exception.

If you have watched the videos in extenso, you'll have seen the very professional firearms handling of the GSU, notably of the Nairobian anti-riot units (who also show more professional restraint than their hapless provincial AP colleagues).

Shooting instruction in the GSU is very good, and the GSU know - as every shooter - how inaccurate the AK-47 intrinsically is, and will always prefer a G3 in good condition for any precise shot that will have to go beyond 50 metres.

A.
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...
written by a guest , January 18, 2008
Seriously guys...what does this have to do with the article?!!
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Media vs. Truth
written by Sindu , January 18, 2008
The intl media is a money-making business and will make a story of what they think will sell. Your article demonstrates this point really well. Hope you will keep posting!
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Will the so Called ODM hear
written by Evelyne , January 18, 2008
Our leaders should now stop misleading Us. If really the elections were rigged they shouldn't have gone to open the parliament.They should stop being selfish. They have signed thier contract letters and they are sure of thier salary at the end of every month. Us we do get our salary by selling vegetables or doing small businesses they want us to close them and go to the streets with them. They should be ashamed of their behaviour. Can they get another way to look for justise but not to call us on the roads. What has been destroyed is enough.
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written by This year , January 18, 2008
Is this thing Political or Tribal? Wajameni!

Whoever said the majimbo and ugatuzi thing is a monster in an infant democrazy
was not crazy. This thing has turned us back a century and we better refrain from here on. Love thy brother ndugus.
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let\'s all speak the truth
written by Tim Norwood , January 19, 2008
Now, now. I am not altogether comfortable with the relativism employed by Nanjala, well meaning as she is. The very fact that we know that the ODm rigged, denounces their case.

In effect, all those condemning Kibaki for rigging so openly and so blatantly are condemning him for being caught, and not for rigging. In other words, we would much prefer that our politicians rigged, and rigged well?

Now, I know we hate Kibaki, he is a rich old Kikuyu man, but here are the facts, no one really knows who won the election, no one does. I hear there was a retallying done with Ms. Karua and J. Orengo but that still did not account for the constituencies that were called without the requisite forms.

I think the truth, which is glaring even now, is that the ODM rigged heavily in Western Kenya, which effort compelled the PNU to catch up and do the same in Eastern Kenya. This is why the ECK chairman could not, would not bring himself to announce the result for the ODM, whose very blatant rigging in Nyanza and the Rift Valley, had indeed wrecked the entire enterprise.

I still wonder, I really do, why the EU chose only to look at one set of discrepancies.
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re: let\'s all speak the truth
written by jessy , January 19, 2008
Now, now. I am not altogether comfortable with the relativism employed by Nanjala, well meaning as she is. The very fact that we know that the ODm rigged, denounces their case.

In effect, all those condemning Kibaki for rigging so openly and so blatantly are condemning him for being caught, and not for rigging. In other words, we would much prefer that our politicians rigged, and rigged well?

Now, I know we hate Kibaki, he is a rich old Kikuyu man, but here are the facts, no one really knows who won the election, no one does. I hear there was a retallying done with Ms. Karua and J. Orengo but that still did not account for the constituencies that were called without the requisite forms.

I think the truth, which is glaring even now, is that the ODM rigged heavily in Western Kenya, which effort compelled the PNU to catch up and do the same in Eastern Kenya. This is why the ECK chairman could not, would not bring himself to announce the result for the ODM, whose very blatant rigging in Nyanza and the Rift Valley, had indeed wrecked the entire enterprise.

I still wonder, I really do, why the EU chose only to look at one set of discrepancies.

look here pal! the govt rigged not only in their strongholds but also in ODMs stongholds too, how many names starting with prefix "o" were omitted from the voters register.look at the composition of the eck commissioners and how many of the president ethnicity were there while there was none from railas,how many GSU officers were deployed all over the country to intimidate the party's election agents and the returning officers, how many times were the media houses fruatrated from announcing presidential results from respective contituencies ,why did the govt bar the election observers from accesing certain centers such as the eck tallying room.and why did it take eck a whole three days to announce the results if they wee not busy cooking the results, and last but not least why haven't the returning officers from the areas where the president won by those colossal vote margins, not returned their form 16A up to this moment. Answer this, then we can talk about ODM rigging.
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written by politicalscientist , January 19, 2008
Now, now. I am not altogether comfortable with the relativism employed by Nanjala, well meaning as she is. The very fact that we know that the ODm rigged, denounces their case.

In effect, all those condemning Kibaki for rigging so openly and so blatantly are condemning him for being caught, and not for rigging. In other words, we would much prefer that our politicians rigged, and rigged well?


I think you've (again) missed the point of this article. This article does not debate whether or not Raila or Kibaki or Musyoka rigged or rigged better than their opponents. Its about the effect that the news, as translated by the media is having on Kenya and the international community.

Sad as it may be to hear, there is no perfect democracy in this world. Its an ideal that many states try to work towards and routinely fail. Whether its rigging in Florida, or racism in Switzerland, or riots and murder in India and Pakistan, or stealing postal votes in The UK - nowhere in this world is democracy implemented perfectly.

So why should a 15 year democracy be held to a higher standard than a 300 year democrac (the US)? In life there are only two absolutes, that we are born and that we will die. Everything else is a matter of perception and yes, relative.

Nanjala
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written by aeichener , January 20, 2008
I am unhappy about Nanjala's relativism too. She ostensibly means well, but to completely write off the quest for truth, and to limit oneself to an analysis of "how people perceived" leads nowhere except into a morass, and into a miasmatic one for that.

How could one properly analyse the Shoah, e.g., by only concentrating on the "perception" of jewishness in the eye and the narrative of antisemitism?

A.
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written by politicalscientist , January 20, 2008
You mistake my selective silence for relativism. Just because I am not plastering the site with my opinions doesn't mean that I don't have opinions. I am not engaging in the Raila v. Kibaki mudslinging fiasco because I don't think that that particular discourse can lead to anything fruitful. And being a final year student as well as a Kenyan with family in Kenya with a great number of other things on my mind I choose only to engage in fruitful discussions.

Nanjala
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written by a guest , January 20, 2008
Just because the issue is not debated here doesn't mean that it won't be debated ever. Ecclesiastes says that there is a time for everything. Now is the time to bring healing to our nation. Once that has happened we can talk about other issues like who rigged better or worse.
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