America's involvement in Kenya's post-elections
political crises must be seen against the background of its "war on
terror"- and the unilateralism that propelled it.
The State Department at
first congratulated President Mwai Kibaki on his re-election but later
rescinded as European Union and other observers reported irregularities in the
vote-count. Since then, the Bush administration has been trying not to take
sides in the election dispute and his Ambassador taken unofficial role as the
Spokesperson for the entire International community pressuring Kenya's political elite to
come to a compromise. To America, it is unfathomable
that one of its most reliable and crucial partners in the "war against
terror" was going to crumble in its lap.
The
US is concerned about
the security ramifications in the Greater Horn of Africa which it has been
trying to hold together. A quick look at the map of Eastern Africa gives America little solace. Somalia is in anarchy with a
multitude of warlords and radical Islamists, Sudan is involved in the Darfur war and Ethiopia is near war with Eritrea, which the US accuses of sponsoring
terrorism. Between the grim sketches is Kenya, America's hope in the region
which is now teetering on the verge of instability.
Kenya's political situation
unravels at a time when the 2008 US defence budget has
substantially increased reinforcing the Bush administration's persistence that
its long "war on terror" will remain at the centre of its security
strategy. The core budget for 2008 is expected to be $481.4 billion, compared
with $441.5 billion for 2006. In raw terms, the US defence budget is now
at similar levels to those during the height of the cold war in the mid-1980s.
Kenya is one of the four
'anchor states' in sub-Saharan Africa in the US led
"war on terror", though it has bore the brunt of terrorist attacks.
On 31, December 1980, the bombing of the Jewish family-owned Norfolk hotel in Nairobi killed 15 people and
injuring 80 others. This was viewed as a revenge attack by the Popular Front
for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) on Kenya for allowing an
Israeli rescue mission to use its facilities to foil the 1976 hijacking of an
Air-France plane and its 258 passengers.
It
was deadlier on 7, August 1998 after the simultaneous bombing of American
embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam. Some 263 lives were
lost among them 240 Kenyans, (11 Tanzanians and 12 Americans) and injured 5,000
Kenyans and 86 Tanzanians.
Four
years later, on 28 November 2002, suspected al Qaeda
agents bombed the Israeli-owned Paradise Hotel in Mombasa killing at least 15
people. Within minutes, militants using shoulder-fired SA-7 missiles narrowly
missed an El Al passenger plane taking off from Mombassa Airport.
Though
the targets were Western interests, Kenyans bore the brunt of the bombings due
to its closeness to the West. Since 1970, the U.S. has maintained
military access agreements with the Kenyan government that permit the U.S. military to use
Kenyan sea and air bases. During the Gulf War, the port of Mombasa was extensively used
by the U.S. marines as well as
during the U.S. intervention to Somalia in 1992 and the Rwanda humanitarian
assistance after the genocide. In 2007 during the routing of radical Islamists
of the Islamic Courts Union (ICU) by Ethiopia forces aided by the US, the Mombasa base was used as a
centre field.
Due
to its strategic position of being close to failed States - Somalia and Sudan -
that are a haven for terrorists, Kenya after September 11 has benefited
immensely from America in accessing funds and capacity to address
anti-terrorism.
The
Pentagon gave Kenya $1.6 million worth of
weaponry and other military assistance in 2006 and an estimated $2.5 million in
2007 through its Foreign Military Sales Program. In 2008 the Bush
Administration expects to provide Kenya with $800,000 in
Foreign Military Financing Program funds to pay for further arms purchases. Kenya has also been
permitted to make large arms deals directly with private American arms
producers through the State Department's Direct Commercial Sales Program. Kenya purchased $1.9
million worth of arms this way in 2005, an estimated $867,000 worth in 2007,
and is expected to receive another $3.1 million worth this year.
In addition, the Bush Administration intends to spend $550,000 in 2008 to train
Kenyan military officers in the United States through the
International Military Education and Training Program at military academies and
other military educational institutions in the United States. In October 2006, the
Bush administration removed certain restrictions on military training of Kenyan
officers that had been imposed on them. This is despite Nairobi refusing to sign an
agreement with Washington to exempt U.S. personnel from the
jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court.
For
the five years that followed the 1998 US embassies attack in Nairobi and Dar-es-salaam, Kenya was the second
biggest recipient - after Nigeria - of U.S. military,
counter-terrorist, and security aid in sub-Saharan Africa. It received a total
of nearly $80 million through 2004 and those amounts have remained stable. In
2003 the U.S. created a $100
million East Africa Counterterrorism Initiative whose major beneficiary has
been Kenya.
Thus,
security cooperation especially anti-terrorism measures has for long been an
important aspect of Kenya-U.S. relations, underscored by airbase and port
access. Despite the current political disagreements between the US and Kibaki
government, the safety measures of this bond will endure.
That
is why the US thus will not stand and watch as its most frontline state in the
region disintegrates and is impatient to get any deal through which will
guarantee stability. It is worth nothing that its voice has radically shifted
from the election being irregular to its international interest of security.
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Why should Kibaki share power with ODM, because they caused violence? Because they planned and implemented ethnic cleansing in their strongholds?
I say; Kibaki kaa ngumu! Don't give in to Mr. Violence. ODM can start their work in the opposition and keep Kibaki on his toes. Kibaki's PNU(and allies) and ODM-K are the government and ODM is the strong opposition. Let us move on.